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Jefferies upgrades General Dynamics stock, optimistic on Gulfstream growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 04/29/2024, 04:34 AM
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On Monday, General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE:GD) stock received an upgrade from a Hold to a Buy rating by Jefferies, with the price target also being increased from $305.00 to $335.00. The upgrade comes with a positive outlook on several fronts for the defense contractor.

The analyst pointed to a significant expected growth at General Dynamics' Gulfstream business, projecting a 40% increase in the top line and a 53% rise in the bottom line for the year 2024. This optimistic forecast is largely attributed to the anticipated certification of the G700 aircraft and reduced research and development costs.

Additionally, the analyst sees potential for upside in the company's defense segment. The revenue guidance provided by General Dynamics suggests a flat trend, which contrasts with the analyst's estimate of a 3% increase. According to the analyst, each 1% increase in revenue could translate to an additional 11 cents in earnings per share or a 70 basis point improvement.

The firm also highlighted General Dynamics' strong free cash flow (FCF) and portfolio optionality. Between 2024 and 2026, the company is expected to generate a cumulative free cash flow of $13 billion. Furthermore, the possibility of spinning off the Technologies segment was mentioned, which could potentially be valued at $18.1 billion, assuming a 14.5 times EBITDA multiple.

Looking ahead to 2025, General Dynamics' free cash flow to enterprise value (FCF/EV) ratio is projected to be 5.2%, representing a 15% discount compared to the average of its peers. This financial metric indicates the firm's ability to generate cash relative to its valuation and suggests a favorable investment profile compared to other companies in the industry.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the upgrade of General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE:GD) by Jefferies, real-time data and insights from InvestingPro further illuminate the company's financial health and market position. General Dynamics boasts a substantial market capitalization of $77.91 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Aerospace & Defense industry. The company's P/E ratio stands at 23.24, which, while indicative of investor confidence, also points to a high valuation relative to near-term earnings growth. Despite this, analysts remain optimistic, with 9 analysts having revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that General Dynamics has not only raised its dividend for 10 consecutive years but has also maintained dividend payments for 46 consecutive years, signaling a strong commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, the company's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, and it operates with a moderate level of debt, suggesting a robust financial structure capable of weathering economic fluctuations.

For investors looking to delve deeper into General Dynamics' investment potential, there are numerous additional tips available on InvestingPro. To explore these insights and make informed investment decisions, readers may consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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