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Jefferies rates Steel Dynamics stock Hold, cites valuation and capital expenditure concerns

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 05/20/2024, 05:06 AM
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On Monday, Steel Dynamics Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) stock received a Hold rating from Jefferies, with a set price target of $150.00. The firm noted that while Steel Dynamics could see near-term benefits from increased volumes, assuming the U.S. economy remains stable, there are factors that could limit the stock's upside potential.

Jefferies pointed out that the valuation of Steel Dynamics' shares appears to be close to fully valued based on their estimates. The firm also cited the company's lower expected capital returns compared to previous years as a reason for the Hold rating.

This anticipated decrease in capital returns is largely attributed to increased capital expenditures, particularly in aluminum, which could constrain the company's free cash flow.

The analyst's commentary highlighted the ongoing structural tailwinds or "megatrends" that major U.S. steel producers are poised to benefit from in the long term. However, these positives are tempered by the prospect of limited capital return upside over the next 12 months.

Jefferies expressed a preference for BF-BOF (blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace) operators in a strong macroeconomic environment, suggesting that this preference played a role in their Hold rating for Steel Dynamics. The firm's analysis reflects a cautious optimism about the company's prospects, balanced by considerations around capital expenditure and valuation.

InvestingPro Insights

Steel Dynamics Inc. (NASDAQ:STLD) has been demonstrating robust financial health and shareholder-friendly practices, as noted by the InvestingPro Tips. The company's aggressive share buyback strategy and a consistent history of dividend increases, with dividends raised for 11 consecutive years, reflect a strong commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, the company's high shareholder yield and the fact that cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments provide investors with confidence in its financial management.

From a data perspective, Steel Dynamics boasts a market capitalization of $21.04 billion and trades at a P/E ratio of 9.13, which is below the industry average, indicating a potentially undervalued stock. The company has also maintained a healthy gross profit margin of 21.35% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. Despite a decline in revenue growth during the same period, the company's strong return on assets of 16.48% suggests efficient use of its assets in generating earnings.

Investors looking for more in-depth analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips can explore further by visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/STLD. There are 12 additional tips available, offering a comprehensive view of Steel Dynamics' performance and outlook. For those interested in leveraging these insights, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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