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Intel stock in limbo as Citi casts doubt on foundry turnaround

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 11/01/2024, 06:08 AM
INTC
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On Friday, Citi adjusted its outlook on Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC), reducing the semiconductor giant's price target from $25.00 to $22.00, while keeping a Neutral rating on the stock. This move comes in response to Intel's recently reported financial results, which revealed challenges due to restructuring and impairment costs. Despite these issues, Intel's guidance was higher than the consensus expectations, attributed to the strength in its PC CPU business, which accounted for 55% of its sales in the third quarter of 2024.

The company's latest earnings report, released Thursday after the market closed, indicated that while there are areas of robust performance, particularly in the PC CPU segment, overall results were hampered by significant costs associated with corporate restructuring and asset impairments. These factors have led to a reassessment of Intel's financial health and future prospects.

Citi's analysis suggests skepticism regarding the viability of Intel's foundry business, citing ongoing losses that have prompted the firm to recommend a strategic exit from this sector. The firm believes that Intel's shareholders would benefit from the company divesting itself of the foundry operations, which have yet to prove profitable.

As a result of the recent financial disclosures and strategic concerns, Citi has revised its estimates for Intel downward. The new price target reflects this updated assessment, taking into account the mixed financial signals and the firm's reservations about the foundry business's potential for success.

While the price target has been lowered, Citi's stance on Intel remains unchanged at Neutral. The firm's commentary indicates a wait-and-see approach, looking for further developments in Intel's business strategy and market performance before making any further recommendations.

In other recent news, Intel Corporation has been navigating through a series of challenges as it attempts to regain its footing in the semiconductor industry. Barclays maintained its Equalweight rating on Intel, acknowledging the company's performance for the quarter, which surpassed modest expectations due to slight gains in its Data Center and AI Group (DCAI). Despite a significant net loss of $16.6 billion in the third quarter due to impairment and restructuring charges, Intel projected fourth-quarter revenue to range from $13.3 billion to $14.3 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations.

Intel's CEO, Pat Gelsinger, has faced challenges in reviving the company since taking the helm three years ago. His turnaround plan includes restructuring and cutting over 15,000 jobs. Despite setbacks, Gelsinger remains confident in Intel's future, pushing for factory expansions and promoting the company's AI capabilities.

However, the company is bracing for a significant revenue fall amid market challenges, with Wall Street expectations pointing to an 8% revenue decrease to $13.02 billion. Despite these challenges, some investors remain cautiously optimistic. These are among the recent developments for the company.

InvestingPro Insights

Intel's recent financial performance and Citi's revised outlook are further illuminated by data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $92.02 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the semiconductor industry. However, Intel's P/E ratio of 94 (or 47.79 on an adjusted basis for the last twelve months) suggests a high valuation relative to its earnings, which aligns with Citi's cautious stance.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Intel is trading at a high earnings multiple, corroborating Citi's decision to lower the price target. This is particularly noteworthy given that net income is expected to drop this year, as another InvestingPro Tip indicates. On a more positive note, Intel has maintained dividend payments for 33 consecutive years, showcasing its commitment to shareholder returns despite current challenges.

The company's revenue for the last twelve months reached $55.12 billion, with a modest growth of 1.99%. However, the operating income margin stands at a slim 0.92%, reflecting the profitability concerns mentioned in Citi's analysis, particularly regarding the foundry business.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips on Intel, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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