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Incyte shares target raised, rating held on strong 3Q results

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/30/2024, 08:33 AM
INCY
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On Wednesday, Incyte (NASDAQ:INCY) Corporation (NASDAQ:INCY) received a stock price target increase from Oppenheimer, now aiming for $82.00, a slight rise from the previous $81.00. The firm continues to recommend an Outperform rating for the stock. This adjustment follows Incyte's third-quarter earnings, which surpassed expectations, largely due to the robust performance of its drugs Jakafi and Opzelura.

Incyte's financial success was highlighted by an upward revision of its full-year 2024 revenue forecast for Jakafi, now set between $2,740 million and $2,770 million. This is an increase from the earlier range of $2,710 million to $2,750 million, and indicates an anticipated fourth-quarter Jakafi sales of around $740 million, translating to approximately 6% year-over-year growth for the full year.

The company's pipeline progress is also drawing attention, with several key developments expected in the near future. These include an update on the LIMBER program, anticipated in December, Phase 1/2 proof of concept data for MRGPRX2 in chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU), and top-line results from a Phase 3 study of povorcitinib in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) expected in early 2025.

Furthermore, Incyte is preparing for discussions with the FDA regarding the pivotal study design for their CDK2 inhibitor (CDK2i). This engagement is seen as a critical step in advancing the treatment through the regulatory process.

In light of these developments, Oppenheimer has updated its model for Incyte, resulting in the revised price target. The firm's maintained Outperform rating reflects a positive outlook on Incyte's financial and clinical trajectory.

In other recent news, Incyte Corporation has experienced notable developments following its strong Q3 2024 financial report. The company exceeded revenue expectations led by key products, Jakafi and Opzelura, prompting Leerink Partners, Citi, and Jefferies to raise their price targets while maintaining positive ratings. However, Truist Securities downgraded Incyte's stock to Hold over concerns related to the impending patent expiration for Jakafi.

Incyte's Q3 sales of Jakafi reached approximately $741 million, surpassing the consensus forecast and marking a 16% year-over-year rise. This led the company to raise its full-year Jakafi revenue guidance to between $2.74 billion and $2.77 billion. Opzelura sales also outperformed expectations, contributing around $139 million to the total revenue of approximately $1.14 billion for the quarter.

Despite strong revenue performance, Incyte's net income and earnings per share fell short of consensus estimates, primarily due to higher expenses and a $100 million milestone payment to Macrogenics. In response to these results, BofA Securities upgraded its rating to Buy and increased its price target for Incyte's stock.

Looking forward, Incyte's pipeline is expected to deliver significant data readouts by the end of 2024 and into the first half of 2025, including results from studies targeting various inflammatory skin diseases and lymphomas.

InvestingPro Insights

Incyte Corporation's recent performance and future prospects are further illuminated by data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $14.18 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the biotechnology sector. Incyte's revenue growth of 9.78% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 aligns with the positive outlook on its key drugs Jakafi and Opzelura, as mentioned in the article.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Incyte holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide financial flexibility for its ongoing research and development efforts, including the LIMBER program and other pipeline projects discussed in the article. Additionally, management has been aggressively buying back shares, potentially indicating confidence in the company's future performance.

The stock's recent performance is noteworthy, with InvestingPro data showing a 41.4% price total return over the past six months. This upward trend corresponds with the positive developments in Incyte's drug portfolio and pipeline progress outlined in the article.

Investors should note that InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for Incyte, providing a more comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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