On Tuesday, Needham maintained a Buy rating on Hut 8 Mining Corp. (NASDAQ:HUT) shares and increased the price target to $16.50 from the previous $15.00. The adjustment follows the anticipation of significant revenue growth stemming from a recent deal with Bitmain.
The firm expects the agreement to generate approximately $125 million in annualized revenue with a gross margin of around 55%. This projection has led to an approximate 9% increase in the adjusted EBITDA estimates for 2025, primarily due to the anticipated rise in hosting revenues when the deal takes effect in the second half of 2025.
Furthermore, Needham has revised its network hash rate projections for the average 2025 calendar year to 713 EH/s, up from 678 EH/s. This increase is expected to partially offset the financial benefits of the new Bitmain deal.
The development of a dedicated site for this venture is estimated to require a capital expenditure in the range of $350,000 to $400,000 per megawatt. This site development is planned for the new 205MW Texas location.
Despite some investors expressing disappointment over the lack of an announcement for a High-Performance Computing (HPC) build at the Texas site, Needham suggests that other megawatts in Hut 8 Mining's 1.1GW pipeline could be more suitable for HPC purposes.
The raised price target to $16.50 reflects the firm's confidence in the increased estimates. However, the target multiple has been lowered to account for a greater business reliance on mining activities compared to HPC.
In other recent news, Hut 8 Mining Corp. has maintained a Buy rating from H.C. Wainwright, following a significant new hosting agreement with Bitmain. Analysts from H.C. Wainwright anticipate that this contract could generate annualized revenues of approximately $125 million for Hut 8, assuming a 95% uptime and a fixed fee from Bitmain.
In financial updates, Hut 8 Mining Corp. disclosed a 72% year-over-year revenue increase to $35.2 million in its Q2 2024 results. However, the company also reported a significant net loss of $71.9 million, a stark contrast to the previous year's $1.7 million loss. Adjusted EBITDA also showed a loss of $57.5 million.
Despite these financial challenges, Hut 8 is aggressively advancing its gigawatt-scale development pipeline. The company is in discussions for a large-scale partnership in Texas, which could power up to 205 megawatts of Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Blackwell GPUs or 16.5 exahash of next-generation ASIC miners. Hut 8 is also exploring AI compute opportunities and plans to upgrade its ASIC fleet. These are the recent developments for Hut 8 Mining Corp.
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