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Graphic Packaging's acquisitions and capital focus boost our stock outlook - Stifel

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/09/2024, 05:06 AM
GPK
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On Tuesday, Stifel, a full-service brokerage and investment banking firm, initiated coverage on Graphic Packaging (NYSE:GPK) Holding Company (NYSE:GPK) stock, assigning a Buy rating with a price target of $35.20. The firm recognized Graphic Packaging (NYSE:PKG) as a leading US-based provider of sustainable fiber consumer packaging solutions.

The coverage launch follows the company's strategic moves, including the creation of a partnership with International Paper in January 2018, which Graphic Packaging fully acquired by May 2021.

This step marked the beginning of a growth trajectory, characterized by increased capital spending, margin expansion, and significant shareholder value, driven by a rise in earnings.

Stifel highlighted Graphic Packaging's focused capital allocation, which has been directed towards cost reduction and the rationalization of the upstream mill system. Additionally, the company has seen growth in its downstream converting operations. Notably, the acquisition of AR Packaging in 2021 was marked as a transformative move for Graphic Packaging.

The analyst from Stifel noted that the company's strategic initiatives have laid the foundation for accretive growth in capital expenditure. These efforts are expected to continue bolstering the company's margins and enhancing value for its shareholders.

Graphic Packaging's commitment to sustainable packaging solutions and strategic acquisitions position it for continued growth in the packaging industry. The firm's Buy rating and price target reflect confidence in the company's strategic direction and its potential for further expansion and value creation.

In other recent news, Graphic Packaging International, LLC has announced its plans to issue $500 million in senior notes due 2032, with an annual interest rate of 6.375%. The offering is expected to close around May 13, 2024, subject to customary closing conditions.

Proceeds from this offering, estimated to be approximately $493 million after expenses, will be used to repay part of its outstanding borrowings under its senior secured credit facility, cover costs related to the offering, and for general corporate purposes if any proceeds remain.

On the earnings front, Graphic Packaging reported Q1 sales of $2.3 billion and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.66. Despite a decline in sales primarily due to reduced production of bleached paperboard, the company expects positive full-year sales growth. The company also achieved $37 million in innovation sales growth in the first quarter and is on track to meet its 2% innovation sales growth target for the year.

These recent developments highlight Graphic Packaging's ongoing commitment to sustainable consumer packaging and its strategic financial moves. Despite facing challenges, the company is actively implementing price increases to manage input cost inflation and is confident in the continued strengthening of its financial performance throughout the year. As always, these forward-looking statements are subject to market conditions and other risks.

InvestingPro Insights

With Stifel initiating coverage on Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE:GPK) with a positive outlook, it's worth considering some key financial metrics and analyst insights for a comprehensive view. Graphic Packaging currently has a market capitalization of $7.83 billion, and its stock has been noted for its low price volatility, aligning with the company's stable performance in the packaging industry. The company's P/E ratio stands at 11.51, which may appear elevated relative to near-term earnings growth, suggesting that investors are expecting higher future earnings.

Analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, yet they predict the company will remain profitable this year, a continuation of its profitability over the last twelve months. This is supported by a solid gross profit margin of 23.08% and an operating income margin of 13.53% for the same period. Furthermore, Graphic Packaging's commitment to sustainable practices and strategic acquisitions, such as AR Packaging, is expected to drive future growth and shareholder value, as reflected in Stifel's optimistic assessment.

For investors seeking more in-depth analysis and additional insights, there are over 4 additional InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/GPK. And to enhance your investment strategy with these insights, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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