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Goldman Sachs raises price target on Micron Technology stock despite DRAM inventory concerns

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 09/26/2024, 01:51 PM
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On Thursday, Goldman Sachs reaffirmed its Buy rating on Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), maintaining a price target of $145.00. The firm's stance comes in the wake of Micron's first-quarter revenue, gross margin, and earnings per share (EPS) projections, which exceeded both reduced investor expectations and the FactSet consensus.

Micron's recent financial guidance has captured market attention, suggesting a more favorable outlook than anticipated.

Despite ongoing concerns regarding the high inventory levels of DRAM and NAND in the PC and smartphone original equipment manufacturer (OEM) sectors, which may affect near-term pricing for certain products like DDR4 DRAM and client SSDs, Goldman Sachs anticipates an upward revision in Street estimates.

This optimism is based on Micron's market share gains in various high-value segments, such as High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), LPDDR5, and enterprise SSDs, which could offset challenges in the traditional PC and smartphone markets.

The analyst firm has adjusted its 12-month price target for Micron to $145 from the previous target of $158. This new target still represents a potential 32% increase from Micron's after-hours trading price of $109.93. The analysis by Goldman Sachs suggests that Micron's unique position in high-value market segments will support its performance despite broader industry headwinds.

Goldman Sachs' update also hints at implications for Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:WDC) and the broader semiconductor capital equipment space, indicating that Micron's performance could have a wider impact on related sectors and companies.

The reaffirmation of the Buy rating and the price target reflects Goldman Sachs' confidence in Micron's ability to navigate market challenges and capitalize on its strengths in the semiconductor industry.

In other recent news, Micron Technology has been making significant strides as it consistently surpasses expectations with its financial results and guidance. UBS, TD Cowen, Piper Sandler, and JPMorgan have all maintained positive outlooks on Micron, with UBS keeping a steady price target of $135. TD Cowen raised its price target to $135, while Piper Sandler and JPMorgan set their targets at $150 and $180 respectively.

These endorsements come in light of Micron's impressive earnings and revenue results, largely due to robust demand for its AI-related memory chips. Micron has also announced plans to expand its manufacturing footprint with new facilities in Idaho, India, and China, positioning itself to meet strong demand from data centers.

Analyst firms anticipate that the current fluctuations in inventory levels for PCs and smartphones are temporary, and that the demand for High Bandwidth (NASDAQ:BAND) Memory (HBM) will rise due to robust demand for Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) in the coming years. Micron's growth in other memory sectors is estimated at around 4-5% year-over-year for the next two years.

UBS has increased its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Micron for calendar years 2025 and 2026 by approximately 9% and 10%, respectively.

InvestingPro Insights


Goldman Sachs' bullish stance on Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) is further illuminated by key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. Analysts are looking ahead to sales growth for Micron in the current year, aligning with Goldman Sachs' expectations of market share gains in high-value segments. This is critical as it reflects the potential for Micron to leverage its position in the industry despite the pressures on traditional memory markets.

InvestingPro data underscores Micron's financial resilience, with a robust revenue growth of 61.59% in the last twelve months as of Q4 2024. This growth momentum is reflected in the quarterly revenue surge of 93.27% for the same period. Additionally, Micron's commitment to shareholder returns is evidenced by its dividend, which has seen an increase for three consecutive years. The company's operational strength is also highlighted by a significant EBITDA growth of 310.9% in the last twelve months as of Q4 2024.

Despite a challenging P/E Ratio of -68.02, Micron's market capitalization stands at a solid $105.78 billion, signaling investor confidence. Moreover, with a forward-looking perspective, analysts predict Micron will return to profitability this year, an InvestingPro Tip that complements the positive outlook from Goldman Sachs.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Micron Technology, which can be found at InvestingPro's Micron page.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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