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Goldman Sachs maintains Buy rating on Palo Alto stock

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 08/20/2024, 06:37 AM
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Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PANW) has received a reaffirmation of its Buy rating and a $376.00 price target from Goldman Sachs. The firm's stance is based on Palo Alto's solid performance in the recent quarter, which surpassed expectations. The cybersecurity company's fourth-quarter fiscal year revenue exceeded Wall Street's predictions by 1%, and its earnings per share (EPS) were 7% higher than consensus estimates from FactSet.

For fiscal year 2025, Palo Alto Networks has projected a 19-20% year-over-year growth in remaining performance obligations (RPO) and a 13-14% increase in revenue, aligning with market expectations. Additionally, the company anticipates its EPS to be 1% higher than the street's forecast.

Palo Alto's next-generation security annual recurring revenue (NGS ARR) is expected to reach between $4.42 billion and $4.47 billion, marking a 28-30% year-over-year increase and coming in 3% above analyst predictions. This growth projection includes contributions from the impending acquisition of QRadar from IBM (NYSE:IBM), which is slated for completion in late September, as stated by Palo Alto's management.

The company has decided to discontinue providing billing guidance due to the ongoing impacts of changes in payment terms. However, it was noted that if the mix between financed deals and billings programs remained consistent with fiscal year 2024, billings would see a 12% rise in fiscal year 2025.

Palo Alto Networks' revenue and Next-Generation Security (NGS) Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) exceeded consensus estimates, leading Wolfe Research to maintain its Outperform rating and $385.00 price target. The company's revenue and NGS ARR grew by 1.3% and 3.7% year over year, respectively.

BMO Capital Markets also raised its price target for Palo Alto Networks to $390, citing a 20% year-over-year growth in Registered Purchase Obligations. JPMorgan increased its price target to $387, highlighting the company's impressive Free Cash Flow margin of nearly 39%. However, Guggenheim maintained a Neutral rating, noting a mixed outlook with revenue matching expectations, but Remaining Performance Obligations falling below consensus.

Palo Alto Networks' guidance for fiscal year 2025 suggests a 14% and 29% year-over-year growth in revenue and NGS ARR, respectively, which analysts view as attainable. Mizuho maintained its Outperform rating and $380 price target, pointing out the company's successful shift towards higher-growth recurring revenue streams.

InvestingPro Insights

Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW) has been recognized not only for its solid quarterly performance but also for its promising growth trajectory. InvestingPro data highlights a robust revenue growth of over 20% in the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, with the company achieving a gross profit margin of 74.43%, underscoring its efficiency in generating earnings. With a market capitalization of $111.18 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 43.94, the company is trading at a premium, reflecting investor confidence in its future earnings potential.

Two InvestingPro Tips that can provide further insight into Palo Alto Networks' financial health include its expected net income growth this year and its status as a prominent player in the Software industry. These tips suggest that the company is not only expanding its bottom line but also maintaining a strong position within its sector. For investors seeking a comprehensive analysis, there are 15 additional InvestingPro Tips available, offering a deeper dive into the company's financials and market positioning.

While the company does not pay dividends, which might be a consideration for income-focused investors, its significant year-to-date price total return of 16.44% and a one-year price total return of 63.75% as of the latest data point in 2024 indicate strong market performance. These figures may appeal to growth-oriented investors looking for appreciating assets. Moreover, the InvestingPro fair value estimate stands at $296.78, offering a perspective on the company's valuation relative to market pricing.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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