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Goldman Sachs lifts United Natural Foods stock price target, maintains Buy target

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 10/02/2024, 01:00 PM
UNFI
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United Natural Foods Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:UNFI) saw a significant increase in its price target, as Goldman Sachs adjusted the figure to $22.00, up from the previous $22.00, while reiterating a Buy rating on the stock.

The adjustment comes after the company's shares surged following a strong fourth-quarter performance and guidance for fiscal year 2025 that met expectations.

The company's stock outperformed, gaining over 30% in value compared to the S&P 500's slight decline. The positive market reaction is attributed to investors' prior bearish expectations, which were proven wrong by United Natural Foods' results.

The company's shift towards positive wholesale volumes at the quarter's end and a three-year outlook projecting margin growth despite flat sales were key factors influencing the price target raise.

Goldman Sachs highlighted that the recent cyclical pressures experienced by United Natural Foods appear to be subsiding, and the company's valuation is now aligned with its three-year average. Despite this optimistic view, the firm pointed out that long-term trends moving away from conventional products, including United Natural Foods' own retail business, could continue to pose challenges.

The company's updated 12-month price target reflects a more confident perspective on its financial prospects, acknowledging the improvements while also considering potential market headwinds.

In other recent news, United Natural Foods reported robust fourth-quarter results, reporting $8.2 billion in sales and an adjusted EBITDA of $143 million, a significant increase from the previous year's $93 million.

The company also outlined a strategic growth plan focusing on natural and specialty products, expecting to generate approximately $100 million in free cash flow by fiscal 2025. UNFI aims to reduce its net leverage to less than 2.5 turns by the end of fiscal 2027 and projects an adjusted EPS between $0.20 and $0.80 per share for fiscal 2025.

BMO Capital Markets has adjusted its outlook on UNFI, increasing the stock's price target to $23.00 while maintaining a Market Perform rating. UBS also increased its price target on UNFI shares from $16.00 to $21.00, maintaining a Neutral rating. BTIG, however, maintained a Neutral rating on UNFI shares, expressing caution regarding the company's multi-year plans.

InvestingPro Insights

United Natural Foods Inc.'s recent stock performance aligns with several InvestingPro metrics and tips. The company's stock has shown remarkable strength, with InvestingPro data revealing a 33.09% return in the past week and a 45.14% return over the last month. This surge corresponds with Goldman Sachs' increased price target and reaffirmed Buy rating.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that UNFI is "trading at a low revenue valuation multiple," which may have contributed to the stock's attractiveness to investors following the positive earnings report. Additionally, the tip indicating "net income is expected to grow this year" supports the optimistic outlook presented in the article.

However, it's worth noting that UNFI "operates with a significant debt burden" and "suffers from weak gross profit margins," according to InvestingPro Tips. These factors may explain why Goldman Sachs remains cautious about long-term trends despite the recent positive performance.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 15 additional tips for UNFI, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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