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GlaxoSmithKline stock outlook revised as US Arexvy sales fall short - Jefferies

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/03/2024, 04:29 AM
GSK
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On Thursday, Jefferies, a global investment banking firm, adjusted its price target for shares of GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK:LN) (NYSE: GSK), reducing it to GBP20.00 from a previous GBP21.00. Despite this change, the firm maintained a Buy rating on the pharmaceutical company's stock.

The revision comes as the analyst anticipates GlaxoSmithKline's third-quarter sales and profits to likely fall short of consensus estimates, primarily due to weaker than expected performance of US Arexvy. However, the analyst pointed out that the company is expected to reaffirm its 2024 outlook. There is a possibility that GlaxoSmithKline may adjust its targets for Specialty & General Medicine to the higher end of its range, although Vaccines targets might be set towards the lower end.

Investors and market watchers are expected to closely monitor several factors that could influence GlaxoSmithKline's performance. These include the demand and stocking levels for US Arexvy, trends for Shingrix in the US market, and the development of the company's partnership in China. Additionally, the potential impact of the 2025 Medicare Part D redesign in the United States on the company's operations is also a point of focus.

Another area of interest mentioned by the analyst is the company's approach to settlements related to Zantac, a medication that has been the subject of lawsuits over safety concerns. Furthermore, the market is awaiting the US launch of Ojjaara, with expectations set on its potential contributions to the company's growth.

Jefferies' revised price target and maintained Buy rating reflect a careful examination of GlaxoSmithKline's prospects amid these various factors, as the company navigates through the complexities of the pharmaceutical market.

In other recent news, GSK has been actively navigating legal and clinical developments. The company has settled two legal cases linked to its heartburn medication, Zantac, without admitting any liability. The settlements were reached with plaintiffs who alleged that Zantac caused their cancers. Despite these settlements, GSK has expressed its intention to continue to defend itself against any further litigation related to this matter.

On the clinical front, GSK has reported successful phase II trial results for its mRNA-based seasonal influenza vaccine, marking a significant advancement in its mRNA vaccine program. The vaccine will now transition into phase III clinical trials. However, the company has discontinued its phase III development plans for the herpes simplex virus (HSV) vaccine candidate, GSK3943104, after it failed to meet the primary efficacy objective in the phase II trial.

On the analyst front, TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating on GSK, following positive Phase III results for its asthma drug, depemokimab. These are all recent developments in the company's operations. GSK continues to engage with the media and investors, providing information about its operations and financial performance. The recent settlements are part of the company's broader legal strategy and do not affect its ongoing commitment to transparency and corporate governance.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Jefferies' analysis of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context for investors. Despite the lowered price target, GSK's financials show some positive indicators. The company's revenue grew by 7.2% over the last twelve months, with a notable 9.84% quarterly growth in Q2 2024. This growth is accompanied by a robust gross profit margin of 72.78%, suggesting strong pricing power in its product portfolio.

InvestingPro Tips highlight GSK's strengths in dividend consistency and profitability. The company has maintained dividend payments for 24 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 3.83%. This track record may appeal to income-focused investors, especially given the analyst's maintained Buy rating despite short-term headwinds.

Additionally, GSK's valuation metrics present an interesting picture. With a P/E ratio of 14.89 and an adjusted P/E of 8.78 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, the stock appears reasonably valued compared to industry peers. An InvestingPro Tip suggests that GSK's valuation implies a strong free cash flow yield, which could be particularly relevant given the company's consistent dividend payments and potential for future growth.

For investors seeking a deeper dive into GSK's prospects, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips that could provide valuable insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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