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Gentherm stock target cut on LVP headwinds, keeps neutral stance

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/09/2024, 09:57 AM
THRM
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On Wednesday, Baird maintained a Neutral rating on Gentherm (NASDAQ:THRM) Incorporated (NASDAQ:THRM) shares, but reduced the price target to $54 from $60. The firm's analysis acknowledges Gentherm's strong performance following its second quarter 2024 results, which included a positive adjustment to the full-year guidance. The company saw a significant increase in lumbar and massage feature sales, which is expected to continue, and made further progress on margins.

Despite these positive indicators, Gentherm's stock has been facing challenges, currently trading near its lows for the last twelve months. Baird has revised its third-quarter 2024 estimates for the company below the consensus, citing increased light vehicle production (LVP) headwinds. However, the firm still believes that Gentherm can achieve its adjusted full-year EBITDA margin targets due to a strong underlying trajectory and the benefits from its fit-for-growth 2.0 initiatives.

The analyst points out that while the full-year revenue forecast has been adjusted to 1.5% below the approximately $1.5 billion guidance, there is a possibility for a "less bad outcome" against the current negative market sentiment. This outlook is supported by the fact that Gentherm's stock has risen after each earnings report so far this year. The revised price target reflects a more cautious stance in light of the recent headwinds and market conditions.

In other recent news, Gentherm Inc., a global market leader in thermal management technologies, has been going through significant changes. The company has reported record quarterly revenue of $376 million and an improved adjusted EBITDA margin rate of 13.3% in Q2 2024.

Growth was driven by lumbar and massage solutions, with notable awards from Hyundai (OTC:HYMTF), BMW (ETR:BMWG), Audi, among others. In addition, the medical segment revenue grew by 9% year-over-year, led by the Blanketrol product and new hospital customers in China.

The company's CFO, Matteo Anversa, is set to resign effective September 1, 2024, to take up the role of Chief Financial Officer at Logitech (NASDAQ:LOGI) International. Anversa's departure, following a successful tenure at Gentherm, has led to the initiation of a formal search for a new CFO, with the assistance of a leading executive search firm. Until a permanent replacement is found, the current President and CEO, Phillip Eyler, will also serve as the interim CFO.

These recent developments come at a time when the automotive industry, a significant part of Gentherm's market, is undergoing substantial changes with a growing emphasis on electric vehicles and sustainable technologies. Despite facing some production challenges and key customers reducing orders, Gentherm executives remain optimistic about the demand for the company's products and its long-term growth prospects.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Baird's analysis, InvestingPro data offers additional insights into Gentherm's financial position. The company's market capitalization stands at $1.33 billion, with a P/E ratio of 19.92, suggesting a moderate valuation relative to earnings. Gentherm's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 was $1.46 billion, aligning closely with the guidance mentioned in the article.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that management has been aggressively buying back shares, which could be seen as a vote of confidence in the company's future prospects. This aligns with the positive adjustments to full-year guidance noted in the article. Moreover, Gentherm operates with a moderate level of debt and has liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations, indicating a stable financial position that could help navigate the headwinds mentioned by Baird.

It is worth noting that while Gentherm's stock has faced challenges, with a 22.46% price decline over the past year, analysts predict the company will remain profitable this year. This forecast supports Baird's expectation that Gentherm can achieve its adjusted full-year EBITDA margin targets.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for Gentherm, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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