NEW YORK - GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV), an industry leader in the energy transition sector with a market capitalization of $92.41 billion, presented its updated financial outlook during the 2024 Investor Update event held on Tuesday. The company, which has delivered an impressive 155% return year-to-date according to InvestingPro data, now projects a revenue target of approximately $45 billion by 2028, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 14%, signaling confidence in its growth trajectory. This ambitious target represents significant growth from its current trailing twelve-month revenue of $34.42 billion.
The updated financial forecast comes as GE Vernova aims to capitalize on the robust demand for its energy transition technologies and services. As part of its growth strategy, the company plans to invest around $4 billion in capital expenditures and approximately $5 billion in research and development through 2028. These investments are expected to drive innovation and support the company's financial goals. InvestingPro analysis indicates the company is currently trading above its Fair Value, with a P/E ratio of 61x, reflecting high growth expectations. InvestingPro subscribers have access to 13 additional key insights about GE Vernova's valuation and growth prospects.
In addition to the revenue and margin projections, GE Vernova anticipates generating at least $14 billion in cumulative free cash flow from 2025 to 2028. The company reaffirmed its 2024 revenue and free cash flow guidance while narrowing its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance range for the year. GE Vernova also raised its multi-year financial outlook, previously outlined at its Investor Day in March 2024.
The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share, payable in the first quarter of 2025 to shareholders of record as of December 20, 2024. Furthermore, the board approved an initial $6 billion share repurchase authorization, underscoring a commitment to shareholder returns.
The company's CEO, Scott Strazik, emphasized the role of robust demand and improved execution in driving financial results. CFO Ken Parks highlighted the growing backlog and healthy margins as key factors fueling the company's trajectory. This is supported by InvestingPro data showing strong financial health metrics and a robust free cash flow of $2.78 billion over the last twelve months. Parks also reiterated GE Vernova's dedication to maintaining an investment-grade balance sheet while pursuing organic investments and targeted mergers and acquisitions. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with more cash than debt, earning it a "GOOD" overall financial health score from InvestingPro.
GE Vernova's strategic principles for capital allocation include driving profitable growth through organic investments, returning at least one-third of cash generation to shareholders, and pursuing targeted, bolt-on mergers and acquisitions.
This financial outlook is based on a press release statement and includes non-GAAP financial measures. The company has provided reasons for using these measures and reconciliations to GAAP financial measures in its quarterly reports filed with the SEC.
GE Vernova's CEO and CFO presented the financial outlook live from New York City, with a webcast available for replay on the company's Investor Relations website. The company's forward-looking statements are based on current assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially.
In other recent news, GE Vernova has been the focus of numerous analyst upgrades and target price revisions. Truist Securities raised its price target for the company to $400, citing strong demand for GE Vernova's gas power and electrification segments. TD Cowen initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $400 price target, highlighting the company's successful turnaround and potential benefit from increased investment in the electricity supply sector. Guggenheim maintained a Buy rating and increased the price target to $400, citing underestimated free cash flow generation.
Wolfe Research initiated coverage with an Outperform rating and a $403 price target, emphasizing the company's growth and margin expansion potential. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities raised its price target to $351, citing potential value in GE Vernova's small nuclear business and zero-carbon turbines. RBC Capital Markets revised its price target from $285 to $376, based on an improved macroeconomic backdrop.
Despite mixed third-quarter results with revenue surpassing expectations but earnings falling short, GE Vernova reaffirmed its full-year 2024 guidance, projecting revenue to trend towards the higher end of $34-35 billion. These are recent developments, and more insights into GE Vernova's strategic plans and financial targets are expected to be provided during the upcoming Analyst Day.
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