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Five Below shares target cut by Craig-Hellum on lowered Q2 guidance

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/17/2024, 09:31 AM
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On Wednesday, Craig-Hallum adjusted its outlook on Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE) shares, reducing the price target to $108 from the previous $124, while retaining a Hold rating on the stock.

The revision follows the company's recent announcement made after the market closed on Monday, revealing a cut in its second-quarter guidance and the exit of President and CEO Joel Anderson. Five Below, once celebrated as a top growth story in retail, has seen a rapid shift in its narrative this year.

In the wake of the leadership shakeup, Five Below has named COO Ken Bull as the Interim President and CEO. Concurrently, Tom Vellios, co-founder and former CEO, will take on the role of Executive Chairman.

The company has also begun the search for a new permanent CEO. This transition occurs as Five Below experiences weakening same-store sales (SSS), with the latest guidance suggesting a high single-digit decline expected for July.

The retailer's challenges appear to stem from various factors, including potentially less compelling product offerings, heightened competition, and customer perception of value at higher price points. Five Below has been experimenting with pricing strategies to address these concerns, although investor confidence may remain tentative until tangible improvements are evident.

The company's ability to maintain its expansion pace is in question, with potential for a slowdown in new unit growth forecasted for the fiscal year 2025 and beyond. This is contingent on Five Below's success in demonstrating consistent performance.

The combination of declining SSS, the uncertainty surrounding future growth, and executive leadership changes are anticipated to suppress the company's stock multiple until long-term growth confidence is reestablished.

In other recent news, discount retailer Five Below has seen significant changes in its financial outlook and leadership. The company reported a 12% increase in total sales, reaching $811.9 million, despite a decrease in comparable store sales of 6%-7% for the quarter. Five Below also projected a downward revision in earnings per share (EPS), from the previously forecasted range of $0.57 to $0.69, to between $0.53 and $0.56.

CEO Joel Anderson has stepped down, with COO Ken Bull stepping in as Interim President and CEO. This leadership change prompted several analyst firms to revise their stance on Five Below. Goldman Sachs adjusted its price target for Five Below to $124, JPMorgan to $87, Wells Fargo to $115, and Guggenheim to $125, all while maintaining their respective ratings.

William Blair downgraded Five Below's stock from Outperform to Market Perform. In contrast, Loop Capital retained a Hold rating, advising investors to maintain their current positions. These are the recent developments for Five Below.

InvestingPro Insights

As Five Below navigates through its current challenges, investors are closely monitoring the company's financial health and market performance. According to real-time data from InvestingPro, Five Below has a market capitalization of $5.62 billion and is trading at a P/E ratio of 18.97, which is high relative to its near-term earnings growth. This may suggest that the stock is currently priced optimistically considering its earnings outlook. Additionally, the company's revenue has grown by 15.24% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, indicating some underlying business strength amidst the broader challenges.

From the perspective of financial stability, InvestingPro Tips highlight that Five Below's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, which could provide some cushion against market volatility. However, the stock has been trading near its 52-week low, reflecting the impact of the recent negative trends on investor sentiment. Analysts have also revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, which could be a cause for concern for potential investors.

For those considering an investment in Five Below, it might be useful to explore additional insights and tips available on InvestingPro. There are currently 9 more tips that could provide a deeper understanding of the stock's potential. Interested investors can take advantage of the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, which includes access to comprehensive analysis and advanced metrics to aid in making informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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