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EVgo shares target lifted, retains rating on DOE loan flexibility

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/09/2024, 09:07 AM
EVGO
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On Wednesday, RBC Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on EVgo, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVGO) shares, a prominent electric vehicle charging network, by doubling the company's price target from $4.00 to $8.00. The firm continues to recommend an Outperform rating for the stock. The adjustment comes in light of a recent Department of Energy (DOE) loan guarantee that RBC Capital views as a significant positive development for EVgo.

The DOE loan is seen as a pivotal factor for EVgo, offering a low-cost financing option that mitigates the risk of equity dilution. This financial mechanism is expected to enable investors to project higher growth rates for the company.

Although the specific details regarding the timing of the financial close and the rate at which EVgo can expedite its expansion are not yet clear, the $1.05 billion guarantee from the DOE provides the company with the necessary leeway to scale operations in tandem with the growth in the battery electric vehicle (BEV) inventory over time.

RBC Capital's revised price target reflects a more optimistic outlook for EVgo's growth prospects, supported by the DOE's loan guarantee. The analyst at RBC Capital has updated the valuation method for EVgo, now relying solely on a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) based approach until there is more clarity on the timing and speed of the company's accelerated build-out.

The DOE loan guarantee is anticipated to support a robust long-term growth trajectory for EVgo. This strategic financial backing is crucial for the company as it aims to expand its charging network infrastructure to meet the increasing demand from the growing electric vehicle market.

RBC Capital's new valuation approach and the increased price target underscore the firm's confidence in EVgo's future performance, especially in the context of the company's enhanced financial flexibility and growth potential due to the DOE loan guarantee. The market will be watching closely as EVgo works towards achieving the financial close and accelerating its expansion plans.

In other recent news, EVgo Inc. (NASDAQ:EVGO) has been making significant strides in its operations and financial performance. The electric vehicle charging company secured a conditional commitment for a $1.05 billion loan guarantee from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), which is expected to facilitate the construction of approximately 7,500 new DC fast charging stalls by 2030. This loan is expected to significantly boost EVgo's infrastructure expansion, potentially doubling or tripling its annual installation rate.

EVgo has also appointed Paul Dobson as its new Chief Financial Officer, a move that is expected to guide the company towards profitability. In a partnership with General Motors (NYSE:GM), EVgo plans to install 400 new fast charging stalls across the United States, with the first locations expected to open in 2025.

On the financial front, EVgo reported a substantial 32% year-over-year revenue increase, surpassing $66 million. Analysts from TD Cowen, Roth/MKM, Stifel, and Cantor Fitzgerald have maintained positive outlooks for EVgo, with TD Cowen upgrading the stock to a Buy rating and raising the price target to $7.00, while Roth/MKM retained a Buy rating and a $6.00 stock price target, Stifel retained a Buy rating, and Cantor Fitzgerald increased its price target for EVgo's shares to $5.00.

In addition, EVgo has been enhancing its fast charging network through the EVgo ReNew program, leading to a 115% increase in the number of charging stalls and a growth of over 80% in locations that can serve at least six vehicles. The company is also developing a next-generation charging architecture expected to deploy in the second half of 2026. These recent developments highlight EVgo's efforts to maintain its position in the competitive EV charging landscape.

InvestingPro Insights

EVgo's recent financial performance and market dynamics align with RBC Capital's optimistic outlook. According to InvestingPro data, EVgo has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with an 82.01% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This strong growth trajectory supports the potential for expansion that the DOE loan guarantee could facilitate.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that EVgo "holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet" and "liquid assets exceed short-term obligations," which positions the company well to leverage the DOE loan for growth without compromising financial stability. Moreover, the tip that "analysts anticipate sales growth in the current year" aligns with RBC Capital's expectations for accelerated expansion.

The market's positive reaction to recent developments is evident in EVgo's stock performance. InvestingPro data shows a significant 72.8% price return over the last month and a substantial 205.96% return over the past six months. These figures reflect investor optimism about EVgo's prospects, likely influenced by the DOE loan guarantee and the company's growth potential in the expanding EV market.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 16 additional tips for EVgo, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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