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Evercore bullish on Netflix stock, highlights strong Q4 outlook and price increases

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/18/2024, 05:30 AM
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On Friday, Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) saw its price target increased by Evercore ISI to $775, up from the previous target of $750. The firm sustained its Outperform rating on the streaming giant's stock. This adjustment follows Netflix's third-quarter earnings, which surpassed expectations and prompted the firm to adjust its outlook.

Evercore ISI's decision comes after Netflix reported a record high Operating Margin of 30%, which the firm views as likely to be sustainable. The third-quarter performance demonstrated the company's ability to exceed financial metrics, which has been a positive sign for analysts and investors alike.

The streaming service's fourth-quarter outlook also suggests a strong potential for growth, with expectations of surpassing Wall Street's subscriber estimates. Evercore ISI attributes this optimism to Netflix's "super strong content slate," indicating that the upcoming releases are expected to drive significant subscriber additions.

In addition to operational successes, Netflix has disclosed several selective price increases. Evercore ISI hints at the possibility of more price hikes in the future, suggesting confidence in the company's pricing power and its impact on revenue growth.

The adjustment in Netflix's price target reflects a positive sentiment from Evercore ISI regarding the company's recent performance and future prospects. The Outperform rating and higher price target indicate the firm's belief in the continued success of Netflix in the competitive streaming market.

In other recent news, Netflix demonstrated strong performance with Q3 results surpassing expectations. The streaming giant added 5.1 million subscribers, exceeding the anticipated 4 million, and reported robust earnings per share of $5.40, higher than the expected $5.12. Revenue figures also beat forecasts, reaching $9.825 billion against the projected $9.769 billion. In response to these developments, UBS, Piper Sandler, and KeyBanc have raised their price targets for Netflix to $825, $840, and $785 respectively, while maintaining positive ratings.

Netflix's management foresees a sequential rise in net subscriber additions for Q4, with a projected 13 million in Q4 of 2023. The company's robust growth strategy includes diversifying revenue streams through advertising, gaming, and live content, which analysts believe will contribute to significant operating income growth in the coming years.

The company's full-year revenue growth expectations have been revised upward to 15%, and the operating income margin is projected to reach 27% by 2024. Looking ahead to 2025, Netflix anticipates 11-13% revenue growth and a 28% margin, aligning with street estimates. These are recent developments, and investors are encouraged to monitor Netflix's ongoing performance.

InvestingPro Insights

The recent price target increase by Evercore ISI aligns with several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. Netflix's strong financial performance is reflected in its impressive revenue growth of 13% over the last twelve months, with quarterly revenue growth accelerating to 16.76% in Q2 2024. This growth trajectory supports the optimistic outlook on the company's future prospects.

InvestingPro data shows that Netflix's P/E ratio stands at 42.36, which may seem high at first glance. However, an InvestingPro Tip points out that Netflix is actually trading at a low P/E ratio relative to its near-term earnings growth, with a PEG ratio of 0.61. This suggests that the stock may still be undervalued despite its recent price appreciation.

The company's operational efficiency is evident in its robust EBITDA growth of 50.33% and an operating income margin of 23.82% over the last twelve months. These figures corroborate Evercore ISI's observation of Netflix's record-high operating margin and its potential sustainability.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 14 additional tips for Netflix, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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