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Erste cuts Roche stock rating to hold on low growth prospects

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 11/05/2024, 08:04 AM
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On Tuesday, Erste Group revised its rating on shares of Roche Holding AG (OTC:RHHVF) (ROG:SW) (OTC: RHHBY), downgrading the pharmaceutical giant from Buy to Hold. The decision was influenced by Roche's performance over the first nine months of the year, which saw the company's sales increase by only 2.0% year-over-year (y/y) in CHF terms. This growth rate is lagging behind the broader healthcare sector.

The analyst from Erste Group highlighted that Roche's sales growth is not only trailing the sector average but also that the expected profit growth for 2024 is projected to be below that of the healthcare sector overall. The analyst pointed out that there appears to be no imminent change to this trend in the near future.

In addition to the slow sales and profit growth, the analyst noted that Roche's stock dividend yield is comparatively high, which is reflective of the low growth prospects for the company. This high dividend yield contrasts with the company's performance and the overall expectations for the healthcare sector.

Roche Holding (OTC:RHHBY), a major player in the pharmaceutical industry, is now positioned with a Hold rating by Erste Group, suggesting that the firm advises caution to investors considering this stock. This adjustment in rating signals a shift in expectations for the company's financial performance relative to its peers in the healthcare market.

In other recent news, Roche's CEO Thomas Schinecker has voiced opposition to the proposed acquisition of Catalent (NYSE:CTLT) by Novo Holdings, Novo Nordisk (NYSE:NVO)'s controlling shareholder. The CEO expressed concerns about potential negative impacts on competition within the weight-loss drug market, specifically those based on the gut hormone GLP-1.

The acquisition has also drawn criticism from U.S. advocacy groups and Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY), Novo Nordisk's main competitor. Roche's head of pharmaceuticals, Teresa Graham, assured that Roche's capacity is secure with other contract manufacturing organizations, indicating that Roche is not reliant on Catalent for its obesity drug production.

On a different note, Berenberg has increased its price target for Roche shares, maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. This adjustment reflects a positive view of Roche's recent strategic moves, including the acquisition of Carmot Therapeutics for $2.7 billion, which has accelerated Roche's obesity pipeline.

These strategic decisions and the subsequent market reaction underscore the pharmaceutical giant's efforts to adapt its research and development focus, aiming to bolster its position in the industry and stimulate long-term growth. These are some of the recent developments surrounding Roche.

InvestingPro Insights

While Erste Group has downgraded Roche Holding AG to Hold, InvestingPro data and tips offer additional context for investors. Despite the analyst's concerns about slow growth, Roche maintains a strong market position with a market capitalization of $272.96 billion. The company's P/E ratio (adjusted) of 16.18 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 suggests a reasonable valuation relative to earnings.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Roche's financial stability and shareholder-friendly policies. The company has raised its dividend for 27 consecutive years and maintained payments for 33 years, addressing the analyst's note on high dividend yield. With a current dividend yield of 2.15%, Roche continues to offer income potential for investors.

Moreover, Roche's financial health appears robust. The company operates with a moderate level of debt, and its cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments. This financial prudence may provide a buffer against the slower growth noted by Erste Group.

It's worth noting that Roche's stock has shown significant momentum, with a 32.18% price total return over the past six months and a 22.82% return over the last year. This performance, along with the stock trading near its 52-week high, suggests that investors may still see value in Roche despite growth concerns.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips on Roche Holding AG, providing a deeper understanding of the company's prospects and challenges in the current market environment.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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