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EQT Corp stock target raised, rating continued on Q3 performance

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/30/2024, 11:02 AM
EQT
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On Wednesday, Stephens, a financial services firm, adjusted its stock price target for EQT Corp. (NYSE:EQT (ST:EQTAB)), the nation's largest natural gas producer, to $38.00 from the previous $37.00. The company's stock rating remains at Equal Weight. The revision followed EQT Corp.'s recent third-quarter financial results, which, despite some challenges, showed production and efficiency gains.

The analyst noted that the quarter was somewhat noisy due to transaction-related costs, which led to third-quarter cash flow per share (CFPS) falling 9% below the consensus estimates. This shortfall hindered what would have been an overall beat of expectations.

Nevertheless, EQT Corp.'s third-quarter production exceeded analyst predictions by 9%, a significant achievement despite the price-driven curtailments that the company faced during the period.

EQT Corp. demonstrated improved efficiency with its capital expenditures (capex) for the third quarter coming in 22% below consensus. This was primarily due to reduced spending on midstream services and pad development. However, the capex, along with investments in the Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP), surpassed the company's discretionary cash flow by $125 million.

The integration of EQT's acquisition of ETRN, a midstream company, is reportedly progressing well and is expected to realize $145 million of the $250 million in identified annual synergies by the end of 2024.

Moreover, EQT Corp. recently sold its remaining 60% non-operated interest in its Northeastern Pennsylvania (NEPA) assets for $1.25 billion in cash. Although this sale price was lower than the value of a previous transaction, the company remains on track with its strategic divestitures.

The sale contributes to EQT Corp.'s goal of reducing its debt to $7.5 billion by the end of 2025. With these developments, Stephens has made a slight adjustment to the net asset value (NAV) per share and the target price for EQT Corp., signaling a modestly positive outlook on the stock's performance.

In other recent news, EQT Corporation (NYSE:EQT) disclosed its third quarter earnings, surpassing expectations with an adjusted earnings per share of $0.12, outperforming the consensus forecast of $0.08. However, the company's revenue of $1.28 billion fell short of Wall Street's projection of $1.32 billion.

EQT's total sales volume for the third quarter rose to 581 Bcfe, an increase from last year's 523 Bcfe, attributed to operational efficiency gains and robust well performance.

The company recently closed a strategic acquisition of Equitrans, transforming EQT into a large scale, vertically integrated natural gas business. In light of the acquisition, over 60% of integration tasks have been completed, resulting in an estimated $145 million of annualized base synergies.

Further developments include EQT's agreement to sell its remaining non-operated natural gas assets in Northeast Pennsylvania for $1.25 billion in cash. The company remains confident in achieving its year-end 2025 debt target. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, EQT expects total sales volume to range between 555-605 Bcfe, while maintaining its full-year 2024 production guidance.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement the analysis of EQT Corp.'s recent performance and Stephens' price target adjustment, let's consider some additional financial metrics and insights from InvestingPro.

EQT's market capitalization stands at $22.16 billion, reflecting its position as a major player in the natural gas industry. The company's P/E ratio of 22.55 suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for its earnings, which aligns with the analyst's Equal Weight rating and the modest increase in the price target.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that EQT has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns despite the challenges in the energy sector. This is particularly relevant given the company's recent strategic moves, including the ETRN acquisition and asset sales, which aim to strengthen its financial position.

Another InvestingPro Tip notes that EQT operates with a moderate level of debt, which is pertinent to the company's goal of reducing debt to $7.5 billion by the end of 2025, as mentioned in the article. This moderate debt level may provide EQT with financial flexibility as it integrates acquisitions and realizes synergies.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 9 additional tips that could provide further insights into EQT's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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