On Friday, BMO Capital adjusted its outlook on Enviri (NYSE: NVRI) shares, reducing the price target from $13.00 to $10.00, while maintaining a Market Perform rating on the company's stock. This revision reflects the firm's assessment of near-term challenges faced by the company, particularly in its Rail and HE divisions, as well as concerns over sluggish free cash flow (FCF).
The analyst at BMO Capital highlighted that although the Clean Earth division of Enviri is performing well, and there is a positive outlook for the company's overall financial performance in 2025, current investor focus remains on the immediate obstacles. These include the performance issues in specific divisions and the slow pace of FCF generation, which are critical factors for the company's short-term financial health.
BMO Capital's stance on Enviri would potentially shift to a more positive one if there were clearer indications of an improvement in cash flow and a reduction in financial leverage. The analyst's comments suggest that such changes could lead to a reassessment of the stock's rating in the future.
The Market Perform rating indicates that BMO Capital does not foresee Enviri's stock outperforming the average total return of the stocks covered in the sector in the near future. This rating is maintained despite the lowered price target, suggesting that the firm's outlook on the stock remains neutral.
Enviri's financial performance and cash flow are critical components of BMO Capital's evaluation, and improvements in these areas could lead to a more favorable view of the company's stock. As of now, the firm's expectations are tempered due to the highlighted challenges facing Enviri.
In other recent news, Enviri Corp reported total revenues of $574 million in its latest earnings call, marking a 4% decrease from the previous year. Despite facing challenges in the Harsco (NYSE:NVRI) Environmental and Rail segments, the company's Clean Earth division achieved a record performance with over 20% adjusted EBITDA growth and a 17.5% EBITDA margin. However, the Rail segment experienced operational issues, leading to a $2 million adjusted EBITDA loss for the quarter.
Enviri has adjusted its 2024 EBITDA outlook to $317 million - $327 million, with a projected negative free cash flow of $10 million for the year. Nevertheless, the company remains optimistic about the future, expecting improved margin expansion, EBITDA, and top-line growth, particularly in the Clean Earth division. Enviri's long-term strategy targets an EBITDA exceeding $400 million by 2027, with free cash flow projected at over $150 million.
These developments highlight the company's resilience and adaptability amidst sector-specific and macroeconomic challenges. As Enviri continues to navigate the global market, it anticipates significant increases in free cash flow driven by reduced pension contributions and improved Rail division performance.
InvestingPro Insights
Recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on Enviri's (NYSE: NVRI) financial situation, providing context to BMO Capital's analysis. The company's market capitalization stands at $619.26 million, with a revenue of $2.09 billion over the last twelve months as of Q3 2023. Despite this substantial revenue, Enviri's profitability remains a concern, aligning with BMO's cautious stance.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that Enviri is not profitable over the last twelve months, which corroborates BMO Capital's focus on the company's financial challenges. However, analysts predict that the company will be profitable this year, potentially supporting BMO's more positive outlook for 2025.
The stock's recent performance has been notably weak, with InvestingPro data showing a 23.55% decline over the past week and a 38.37% drop over the last three months, reflecting the near-term challenges mentioned in the BMO report.
Interestingly, the RSI suggests the stock is in oversold territory, which could indicate a potential for price recovery if the company addresses its operational issues. For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 8 additional tips for Enviri, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.
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