On Thursday, DA Davidson adjusted its price target on shares of DoorDash Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DASH), increasing it from $119.00 to $150.00, while keeping a Neutral rating on the stock. The revision follows DoorDash's third-quarter results, which slightly exceeded both DA Davidson's and consensus estimates. The company reported $533 million in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, surpassing DA Davidson's projection of $514 million and the consensus of $513 million.
DoorDash's performance in the third quarter showed a 1.2% higher gross order value (GOV) than DA Davidson's estimates and 2.2% higher revenue than anticipated by the firm. These results were also above consensus predictions by 1.2% for GOV and 1.8% for revenue. Looking ahead, the company's fourth-quarter GOV guidance ranges from $20.6 billion to $21.0 billion, aligning with the $20.6 billion market consensus. Additionally, the EBITDA guidance for the fourth quarter is set between $525 million and $575 million, which encompasses the consensus estimate of $544 million.
The analyst highlighted DoorDash's impressive execution across its various competitive product lines and noted the potential in its large total addressable market (TAM). However, the firm's Neutral stance also takes into account the dynamic competitive landscape, especially in new verticals such as grocery delivery, as well as the company's valuation.
Alongside the financial results, DoorDash announced a notable partnership with Lyft (NASDAQ:LYFT). This collaboration will allow DashPass members to enjoy rideshare benefits without incurring additional costs. This move is expected to enhance the value proposition of DoorDash's subscription service.
DA Davidson has updated its estimates for DoorDash, increasing its 2025 GOV estimate by 2.4% due to the improved top-line momentum. The firm's 2025 EBITDA forecast has also been raised from $2,319 million to $2,501 million. The new price target of $150 is based on these revised estimates, implying 4.8 times the firm's 2025 expected EV/Sales and 24.8 times the 2025 EV/EBITDA.
In other recent news, DoorDash Inc. has been making significant strides in the delivery sector. The company's Q3 2024 results showed a robust 19% growth in Gross Order Value (GOV), driven by the success of its restaurant and grocery sectors. This growth was further accelerated by the acquisition of Tazz by Wolt, a strategic move to expand DoorDash's market share in Europe.
Oppenheimer recently adjusted its outlook on DoorDash, raising the price target to $180 based on the company's strong performance, international expansion, and grocery segments. The firm also highlighted the positive impact of DoorDash's grocery delivery services and a new partnership with Lyft, which is expected to bolster the growth of its DashPass subscription service.
DoorDash's international business is now gross profit positive, showing improved contribution margins similar to those in the U.S. This is partly due to partnerships with Wegmans and plans to onboard larger grocers. The company's revenue growth has outpaced GOV growth, driven by advertising and efficient Dasher costs.
InvestingPro Insights
DoorDash's recent performance and strategic moves are reflected in its financial metrics and market position. According to InvestingPro data, the company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $64.36 billion, with a robust revenue of $9.61 billion over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This aligns with the strong execution across product lines mentioned in the analyst report.
The company's revenue growth of 25.02% over the same period underscores its expanding market presence and effectiveness in capturing a larger share of its addressable market. This growth trajectory is further supported by an InvestingPro Tip indicating that analysts anticipate continued sales growth in the current year.
Despite the positive revenue trends, DoorDash's profitability remains a focus area. The company reported an adjusted operating income of -$374 million over the last twelve months. However, an InvestingPro Tip suggests that net income is expected to grow this year, and analysts predict the company will turn profitable this year, which could be a significant turning point for DoorDash's financial health.
The stock's performance has been particularly strong, with a one-year price total return of 107.14%, reflecting investor confidence in DoorDash's business model and growth prospects. This aligns with the DA Davidson analyst's recognition of the company's impressive execution and large total addressable market.
For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for DoorDash, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial position and market dynamics.
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