On Friday, Stephens adjusted its stock price target for Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ) to $420 from the previous $430 while keeping an Equal Weight rating on the stock. The revision follows the company's third-quarter financial performance, which fell slightly short of market expectations in several key areas. Despite U.S. and international same-store sales, adjusted EBITDA, and the number of new units not meeting consensus, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) exceeded forecasts.
Domino's Pizza has indicated a conservative stance for its fiscal year 2025, projecting results to align with those of fiscal year 2024 in terms of annual income growth from operations and global retail sales growth. This outlook contrasts with previous expectations of acceleration within the long-term guidance range.
The company's management is focusing on building sales levers for the long term, but there is concern over slowing trends in the fourth quarter of 2024 and challenging comparisons in the first quarter of 2025. These factors may impact the short-term perspective for the company.
Although Domino's is seen as having a generally resilient business model, the stock might experience a pause in growth due to a tougher economic environment, the cycling of successful promotions, and a deceleration in international expansion.
Stephens maintains its Equal Weight rating but has adjusted the price target to reflect the potential headwinds and the current economic context. The firm's updated target aims to account for the recent performance and forward-looking guidance provided by Domino's Pizza.
In other recent news, Domino's Pizza experienced several adjustments to its stock price target by various analyst firms following its third-quarter results. Baird maintained an Outperform rating with a steady price target of $535, expressing confidence in the pizza chain's profit outlook for 2024-2025. RBC Capital lowered the target to $490, citing a slightly lower multiple due to revised estimates after the company's revenues missed expectations by 1.6%.
Jefferies also trimmed the price target for Domino's to $450 while keeping a Hold rating. TD Cowen held its Buy rating and a price target of $475, emphasizing Domino's strong strategic approach. BTIG reduced the stock's price target to $500 from the previous $580, but still recommended a Buy rating.
Domino's reported third-quarter earnings per share of $4.19, exceeding the estimated $3.65. However, the company saw a 3% increase in U.S. same-store sales, falling short of the projected 3.6% increase, and a 0.8% increase in international sales, missing the anticipated 2.9% growth. These are the recent developments in the company's performance.
InvestingPro Insights
Recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on Domino's Pizza's financial position and market performance. The company's market capitalization stands at $14.3 billion, with a P/E ratio of 25.4, indicating that investors are willing to pay a premium for the stock despite the recent challenges noted in the article.
InvestingPro Tips highlight Domino's strong dividend history, having raised its dividend for 11 consecutive years and maintained payments for 13 years. This consistent dividend growth, with a current yield of 1.48%, underscores the company's commitment to shareholder returns even in the face of economic headwinds.
The company's financial health appears solid, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations. This aligns with the article's mention of Domino's resilient business model. However, it's worth noting that 13 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, which may reflect the conservative outlook for fiscal year 2025 discussed in the article.
Domino's Pizza's revenue growth of 2.28% over the last twelve months and a more robust 7.14% growth in the most recent quarter (Q2 2024) suggest that the company is still expanding, albeit at a moderate pace. This data provides context to the article's mention of potential short-term growth challenges.
For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights that could further illuminate Domino's Pizza's market position and future prospects.
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