KeyBanc maintained a Sector Weight rating on Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ) following the release of the company's third-quarter 2024 earnings. The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter came in above consensus, thanks to the company's investment in DPC Dash, favorable tax conditions, and stronger-than-anticipated margins in company-operated stores and its supply chain. However, domestic same-store sales (SSS) growth was slightly below consensus, and international SSS did not meet expectations.
Domino's has revised its financial outlook for the years 2024 and 2025 due to current macroeconomic challenges, especially in international markets. The company has lowered its global retail sales growth forecast to approximately 6%, down from the previous projection of 7% or higher. Additionally, the growth projection for income from operations has been adjusted to around 8%, a slight decrease from the earlier estimate of over 8%. Despite these changes, Domino's has kept its growth outlook for 2026 through 2028 unchanged.
Alongside the adjustments to sales and income growth forecasts, Domino's has also scaled back its target for global net unit growth in 2024. The new target is set for 800-850 new units, a reduction from the previously stated goal of 825-925.
KeyBanc has increased its EPS estimate for Domino's for the year 2024 to reflect the third-quarter earnings beat. However, the firm has reduced its EPS forecast for 2025 to $17.63. This decrease is attributed to the lowered global SSS growth expectations, although this is partially mitigated by anticipated supply chain efficiencies.
Domino's Pizza has seen a flurry of analyst adjustments following its third-quarter earnings report. The pizza chain reported earnings per share of $4.19, surpassing the estimated $3.65. However, the company fell short of expectations with a 3% increase in U.S. same-store sales and a 0.8% increase in international sales.
BMO Capital adjusted its price target for Domino's to $500, maintaining an Outperform rating. On the other hand, Piper Sandler raised the price target to $422, keeping a Neutral rating, while Stephens cut the target to $420 due to the company's cautious outlook for 2025. Baird reaffirmed its Outperform rating with a steady price target of $535, expressing confidence in the company's profit outlook. RBC Capital lowered the target to $490, citing revised estimates after revenues missed expectations.
InvestingPro Insights
Recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context to Domino's Pizza's financial position and market performance. Despite the revised outlook mentioned in the article, Domino's maintains a strong market presence with a market capitalization of $14.3 billion. The company's P/E ratio of 25.4 suggests that investors are still willing to pay a premium for its shares, possibly due to its consistent profitability and growth potential.
InvestingPro Tips highlight Domino's commitment to shareholder returns, noting that the company has raised its dividend for 11 consecutive years and maintained dividend payments for 13 years. This track record of dividend growth, coupled with a current dividend yield of 1.48%, may appeal to income-focused investors despite the recent challenges outlined in the earnings report.
The company's financial health appears robust, with InvestingPro data showing that liquid assets exceed short-term obligations. This aligns with the article's mention of strong margins in company-operated stores and the supply chain. Additionally, Domino's has demonstrated a high return over the last decade, which could provide some reassurance to investors in light of the adjusted growth forecasts.
For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 6 additional tips and a range of financial metrics for Domino's Pizza.
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