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Discover Financial stock target raised, holds sector perform rating on solid trends

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/18/2024, 11:09 AM
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On Friday, RBC Capital Markets adjusted its stock price target for Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS), raising it to $161 from $148, while keeping the stock at a Sector Perform rating. The adjustment followed a recap of the company's third-quarter results, which showed solid core trends.

Discover Financial reported slightly higher revenues than anticipated in the third quarter, along with a continued improvement in the trajectory of card losses. Despite facing higher expense levels, the company views these costs as modest and manageable at present.

The full-year 2024 guidance for Discover Financial was modestly revised, accounting for lower expected loan growth and net charge-off (NCO) assumptions. Nevertheless, the guidance remained largely consistent with previous projections.

RBC Capital's analyst noted the ongoing merger process with Capital One, stating that it is still expected to conclude in early 2025. The third-quarter performance of Discover Financial as a standalone entity was characterized by stable fundamentals and incremental adjustments to the financial outlook.

The analyst concluded with a remark on the financial adjustments, "Fine-tuning estimates." This indicates a slight recalibration of expectations based on the third-quarter performance and the updated guidance provided by Discover Financial Services.

In other recent news, Discover Financial Services reported a 41% year-over-year increase in net income, reaching $965 million in the third quarter of 2024. This strong financial performance was accompanied by an expansion of the net interest margin to 11.38% and a 3% growth in card receivables.

The company also completed the first two tranches of its private student loan portfolio sale. These are significant recent developments for Discover.

However, Discover card sales saw a 3% decrease compared to the previous year, attributed to cautious consumer behavior and credit tightening actions. On a positive note, the company ranked second in customer satisfaction among U.S. credit card issuers, as reported by J.D. Power.

Looking ahead, Discover revised its 2024 loan growth expectations to a low to mid-single-digit decrease and tightened its net interest margin range to between 11.2% and 11.4%.

The company's merger with Capital One is advancing, with applications currently under regulatory review and integration planning progressing smoothly. Discover anticipates approximately $125 million in merger and integration planning costs for the full year 2024. These developments indicate a period of strategic shifts and financial growth for Discover Financial Services.

InvestingPro Insights

Discover Financial Services' recent performance aligns with several key metrics and trends highlighted by InvestingPro. The company's stock is trading near its 52-week high, with a price at 98.4% of its 52-week peak, reflecting the positive sentiment echoed in RBC Capital's increased price target. This strength is further underscored by Discover's impressive 67.89% total return over the past year.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Discover has maintained dividend payments for 18 consecutive years and has raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns that complements its solid financial performance. The company's P/E ratio of 11.91 suggests it may be undervalued relative to its earnings, potentially supporting RBC's Sector Perform rating.

Discover's revenue growth of 11.97% over the last twelve months and a robust gross profit margin of 94.83% indicate strong operational efficiency, aligning with the "solid core trends" mentioned in the article. These figures, combined with analysts' predictions of profitability this year, reinforce the company's stable financial position as it progresses through its merger with Capital One.

For investors seeking more comprehensive insights, InvestingPro offers additional tips and metrics to further evaluate Discover Financial Services' investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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