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Deutsche Bank cuts Lithium Americas target to $2.50, maintains hold

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 08/15/2024, 04:52 PM
LAC
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On Wednesday, Deutsche Bank adjusted its outlook on Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE:LAC), reducing the stock's price target to $2.50 from the previous $3.00, while retaining a Hold rating on the shares.

The reevaluation follows a recent company update from Lithium Americas Corp., where no significant changes were reported for the quarter. The firm is progressing with its site work, anticipating major construction to commence in the second half of 2024.

The company has also secured a $12 million grant from the U.S. Department of Defense for the development of power infrastructure and the construction of a transloading facility. Despite these developments, most of Deutsche Bank's assumptions about the company remain unaltered.

However, the firm has adjusted its expectations for the timing of funding from the Department of Energy and General Motors (NYSE:GM) Tranche II, moving it from the third to the fourth quarter of 2024, which they believe is a more reasonable forecast.

The revised price target of $2.50 is based on the net asset value of Free Cash Flows to Equity, applying an approximate 11% discount rate. This adjustment reflects an increased share count due to dilution from the anticipated General Motors Tranche II, which is linked to recent movements in the company's share price.

Lithium Americas Corp. is in the process of advancing its operational capabilities, with the additional funding from the Department of Defense enhancing its infrastructure prospects. The delay in expected funding from the Department of Energy and General Motors is accounted for in the new valuation, as Deutsche Bank aims to provide a current and reasoned perspective on the company's financial outlook.

In other recent news, Lithium Americas Corp. has seen significant developments. The company recently raised $263 million in net proceeds from an April offering, meeting financial requirements for General Motors' second investment tranche of $330 million and the anticipated $2.26 billion loan from the Department of Energy (DOE).

Both are expected to be finalized in the latter half of 2024. TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating for Lithium Americas, highlighting the company's cautious spending as it prepares for the closing of the DOE loan.

Scotiabank adjusted its financial outlook on Lithium Americas' shares, reducing the price target to $3.00 from the previous $5.50 while maintaining a Sector Perform rating. This follows a reassessment of the lithium market, leading to a lower price forecast.

Piper Sandler initiated coverage on Lithium Americas, giving it a 'Neutral' rating, taking into account the company's production schedule, which is not expected to increase until 2028, and the secured funding for the initial phase of production.

Canaccord Genuity reaffirmed its 'Buy' rating on Lithium Americas' stock after evaluating the company's Q1 financial performance. The firm's analysis suggests that the company's net asset value per share and EBITDA projections are consistent with previous estimates.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro reveals that Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE:LAC) faces a challenging financial landscape. The company's market capitalization has settled at approximately $521.91 million, with a negative price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of -46.61, indicating investor concerns over profitability. Adjusted figures for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 show a P/E ratio improvement to -15.96, yet the company's stock has experienced a significant decline, with a one-year price total return of -78.18%.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Lithium Americas Corp. holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which is a positive sign for liquidity. However, the company is rapidly depleting its cash reserves, and analysts predict that net income is expected to drop this year. Additionally, they do not anticipate the company will be profitable within the year. For those looking to delve deeper into the company's financial health, InvestingPro offers a total of 13 additional tips for Lithium Americas Corp., which can be found at https://www.investing.com/pro/LAC.

The company's recent grant from the U.S. Department of Defense and the upcoming major construction phase are noteworthy developments. But the InvestingPro data suggests that investors should remain cautious, given the company's cash burn rate and the lack of profitability over the last twelve months. These financial insights can help investors weigh the potential risks and rewards associated with Lithium Americas Corp. as it navigates through its operational advancements.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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