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Deutsche Bank cuts Autodesk stock target by $20, keeps Hold

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 06/12/2024, 06:15 AM
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On Wednesday, Deutsche Bank adjusted its outlook on Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) shares, reducing the price target to $245 from the previous $265, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. Autodesk, known for its software for architecture, engineering, and construction industries, reported first-quarter results that met expectations set by their May 31 preannouncement. The company's performance demonstrated solid top and bottom line numbers, surpassing both Deutsche Bank's and Wall Street's projections.

Autodesk's F1Q total billings declined by 5% year-over-year, matching the company's own forecast and Deutsche Bank's but falling short of the general market's anticipation of a 2% increase. This was attributed to strong multi-year upfront sales in the same quarter of the previous year. Despite the shift in billing practices from multi-year contracts to annual ones, Autodesk saw a 2% growth in current billings, defying the bank's prediction of a 1% decrease.

The company's current bookings exhibited an 8% year-over-year growth, likely influenced by the robust overall business performance and some customers renewing contracts earlier than usual. This early renewal activity may have been motivated by anticipated price hikes in early February or in anticipation of the company's transition to a new transaction model. Deutsche Bank suggests that this trend might positively impact billings and bookings growth in the second quarter, with some clients potentially renewing ahead of the June 10 model transition.

Autodesk's management has indicated that the transition to the new transaction model is on track. The company is closely observing the rollout in North America before deciding on extending the model to European and Japanese markets. This cautious approach reflects the company's strategy to ensure a smooth transition across its global customer base.

In other recent news, Autodesk, Inc. has demonstrated a robust start to fiscal 2025, with first-quarter revenue climbing 12% to $1.42 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter also beat estimates, reaching $1.87, $0.13 higher than the consensus of $1.74. Despite a 5% decrease in total billings to $1.11 billion, the remaining performance obligations grew by 12% year-over-year to $3.9 billion, indicating a strong future revenue pipeline.

Goldman Sachs recently adjusted its outlook on Autodesk, reducing the price target to $225 from the previous $230 while maintaining a Sell rating. The firm expressed concerns over Autodesk's ability to sustain high growth rates due to potential execution risks in the North American and EMEA markets, and the findings from a recent internal investigation.

On the innovation front, Autodesk announced Project Bernini, an AI model designed to generate 3D shapes from various inputs, leveraging Generative AI technology. Looking ahead, Autodesk's outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 forecasts revenue between $1.475 billion and $1.490 billion, with adjusted EPS expected to be between $1.98 and $2.04. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company anticipates revenue growth of 9% to 11%, with an expected range of $5.99 billion to $6.09 billion.

InvestingPro Insights

With Autodesk's solid performance in the face of operational shifts, it's useful to consider some key metrics and tips from InvestingPro. Autodesk's Gross Profit Margin for the last twelve months as of Q1 2025 stands at an impressive 91.73%, showcasing the company's ability to maintain profitability despite market challenges. Additionally, the company's Revenue Growth for the same period was 10.6%, indicating a healthy expansion in its financials. However, investors should note Autodesk's high Price / Book ratio of 21.14, which could suggest that the stock is priced at a premium relative to its book value.

Among the various InvestingPro Tips, two particularly stand out in the context of the article. Firstly, Autodesk operates with a moderate level of debt, which might be a factor in its ability to navigate the transition to a new transaction model without financial strain. Secondly, analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, aligning with the positive outlook reflected in the recent performance figures. These insights, coupled with the detailed analysis available on InvestingPro, can provide investors with a deeper understanding of Autodesk's financial health and future prospects.

For those interested in a comprehensive analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available that delve into Autodesk's financials and market performance. To explore these insights and make informed investment decisions, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 for an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at https://www.investing.com/pro/ADSK.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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