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DA Davidson looking to buy Polaris shares on weakness, upgrades rating

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 07/25/2024, 09:50 AM
PII
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On Thursday, Polaris (NYSE:PII) Industries Inc. (NYSE:PII) received an upgrade in its stock rating from Neutral to Buy by DA Davidson, accompanied by a new price target of $87.00. The decision comes after Polaris adjusted its fiscal year 2024 (FY24) earnings per share (EPS) expectations. The company's recent revision of its EPS guidance, which was more substantial than the reductions anticipated in June checks, was deemed necessary due to the current condition of dealer inventories.

DA Davidson believes that Polaris has reached an earnings low point and is now positioned to exceed investor expectations in the future. The upgrade was also influenced by a recent downgrade by another sell-side firm, which DA Davidson sees as having created a favorable buying opportunity for investors.

The new price target of $87.00 is based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 14.5 times DA Davidson's fiscal year 2025 (FY25) estimated EPS of $6.00. This represents a decrease of $1.50 from the consensus estimate of $6.80. The analyst's commentary suggests confidence in Polaris' potential for a performance rebound, despite the lowered EPS guidance.

Polaris Industries is in the process of navigating through a period of inventory adjustments, which is a common challenge in the manufacturing sector. The firm's proactive approach in resetting its earnings expectations is seen as a prudent move by DA Davidson, setting the stage for future growth.

Investors are now watching Polaris with renewed interest as the company aims to capitalize on the adjusted expectations and strives to deliver value. The stock's performance will continue to be monitored in light of these new developments.

In other recent news, Polaris Industries has faced significant challenges, as reflected in its recent second-quarter earnings report.

The company reported a $1.38 earnings per share (EPS), far lower than the expected $2.39. This led to a downward revision in its financial guidance, with a revised full-year 2024 EPS estimate of $4.00, down from $8.11. Analyst firms such as RBC Capital, BofA Securities, and Roth/MKM have adjusted their price targets for Polaris, citing the Q2 miss and revised guidance.

Sales across Polaris' product lines have also declined, with a drop in off-road vehicle sales by 6%, on-road vehicle sales by 19%, and marine product sales by a significant 40%. These declines have been attributed to high interest rates, inflationary pressures, and a cautious stance from both dealers and consumers.

In response to these challenges, Polaris has implemented cost-saving measures and planned strategic promotions, already achieving $50 million in cost savings year-to-date, with a target of $100 million for the second half of the year.

These are the recent developments in Polaris Industries.

InvestingPro Insights

Following DA Davidson's upgrade of Polaris Industries Inc. (NYSE:PII), the InvestingPro platform highlights key metrics and tips that may further inform investor decisions. As of Q2 2024, Polaris has a market capitalization of $4.06 billion and is trading at a P/E ratio of 13.68, reflecting a potentially attractive valuation compared to industry peers. Despite recent challenges, Polaris has a noteworthy track record of dividend reliability, having raised its dividend for 27 consecutive years, which underlines its commitment to shareholder returns.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that while analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, Polaris is still anticipated to be profitable this year. Additionally, the company's stock price has experienced significant volatility and is currently trading near its 52-week low, which may present a buying opportunity for long-term investors. For those looking to delve deeper, InvestingPro offers a wealth of additional tips—9 in total—to help users make more informed investment decisions. To access these insights and more, consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

Investors should also note the company's dividend yield of 3.62% as of 2024, which is competitive within the sector, especially considering the current market volatility. With a price target of $87.00 set by DA Davidson and InvestingPro's fair value estimate at $91.25, there appears to be a consensus on the stock's potential upside. As Polaris navigates through this transitional period, these data points and insights may prove valuable for those considering an investment in the company.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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