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CrowdStrike stock PT lowered by Evercore ISI; all eyes on F3Q and FY outlooks

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 07/30/2024, 09:57 AM
CRWD
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On Tuesday, Evercore ISI revised its price target for CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD), a cybersecurity firm, reducing it to $325 from the previous $350 while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock.

The firm cited ongoing uncertainties and the unlikely prospect of management providing confident second-half guidance in the near term. The analyst noted that while CrowdStrike could report strong second-quarter results, the emphasis remains on the third-quarter performance and any full-year outlook that may be available.

The analysis suggests two potential scenarios for CrowdStrike: either withdrawing the second-half guidance and providing an update on September 18 at the company's Analyst Day, or issuing guidance based on a worst-case scenario. In both cases, the expectation is that the stock might experience a decline, which could present an opportunity to evaluate the risk/reward balance, assuming expectations are adjusted accordingly.

The firm's research indicates that for stocks implicated in operational mishaps in recent years, buying on the dip has not typically been a successful strategy. This insight is particularly relevant for software stocks, which tend to be penalized for missed quarters for an extended period.

Evercore ISI's decision to remain tactical rather than downgrading the stock stems from CrowdStrike's robust product platform, technology, and expansive ecosystem. The firm recognizes the company's position in a growing cybersecurity market valued at $100 billion, where investment continues to increase. Despite the reduced price target, the analyst maintains a positive outlook on CrowdStrike's long-term potential within this expanding market.

In other recent news, CrowdStrike Holdings has been the focus of several analyst reports following a significant global IT outage due to a flawed software update. The cybersecurity firm has managed to recover over 97% of its Windows sensors, a major step towards full-service restoration. However, the outage, which disrupted various sectors worldwide, has prompted analysts to reassess CrowdStrike's financial projections.

BMO Capital maintained its Outperform rating on CrowdStrike, keeping a steady price target of $410.00, while continuing to evaluate the financial impact of the outage.

Rosenblatt adjusted its price target for CrowdStrike to $350 from $420, citing short-term challenges, though it maintained a Buy rating. Truist Securities also revised its price target for CrowdStrike to $325 from $400, yet continued to hold a Buy rating. HSBC downgraded CrowdStrike's stock from Buy to Hold, adjusting revenue and earnings estimates for fiscal years 2025 to 2026.

The outage, which affected approximately 8.5 million Windows devices, has led to heightened concerns regarding the potential severity and lasting effects on CrowdStrike's financial performance. The company has introduced new measures in its quality control process to prevent a recurrence. CrowdStrike CEO, George Kurtz, has been summoned by the U.S. House of Representatives Homeland Security Committee to discuss the incident.

These are recent developments, and the full implications are yet to be determined.

InvestingPro Insights

Amidst the ongoing uncertainties surrounding CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD), current metrics and analysis from InvestingPro provide additional context for investors considering the cybersecurity firm's prospects. CrowdStrike's financial health is highlighted by the fact that it holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could offer some buffer against short-term market volatility. Furthermore, analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, a significant indicator of its underlying business strength despite recent challenges.

InvestingPro data shows that CrowdStrike boasts a substantial market capitalization of $62.98 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the cybersecurity industry. The company's revenue growth remains robust, with a notable increase of 34.26% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023. However, it is worth noting that CrowdStrike is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 473.36, suggesting a premium valuation which investors may want to consider in their analysis.

For those looking to delve deeper into CrowdStrike's financials and forecasts, InvestingPro offers additional insights with a total of 16 InvestingPro Tips available for the company. These tips provide a comprehensive overview, including analysis on valuation multiples and stock performance over various timeframes. Interested readers can use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, accessing these valuable tips to inform their investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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