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Costco stock target lifted, holds buy on strong sales and expansion

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/17/2024, 11:15 AM
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On Thursday, Tigress Financial Partners maintained a Buy rating on shares of Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:COST) and increased the stock's price target to $1,065. The firm cites the retailer's sustained in-store traffic and e-commerce momentum as the primary drivers for the optimistic outlook.

Costco's distinctive shopping experience and ongoing store growth, both domestically and internationally, are expected to continue propelling long-term shareholder value.

Costco has reported a 1% year-over-year increase in Q4 2024 revenue, reaching $79.7 billion. Notably, the company saw consolidated comparable sales rise by 5.4%, with U.S. comparable sales up by 5.3%, Canada by 5.5%, and other international markets by 5.7%.

E-commerce comparable sales showed a significant increase of 18.9%. After adjustments, the e-commerce comparable sales growth was even more pronounced at 19.5%. Membership fees remained consistent at $1.51 billion.

The retailer has recently hiked its membership fees, which will be applied to new members and renewals starting from October. This change is part of Costco's strategy to deliver increasing value to its members, alongside the introduction of new Kirkland Signature products. High renewal rates, attributed to Costco's unique shopping experience and value proposition, have reached record levels.

Costco's growth is further supported by a broadening of service offerings, including travel and home improvement, as well as an expansion in business services. The company's robust e-commerce demand benefits from an expanding array of delivery options and capabilities. Moreover, Costco's investments in technology and data utilization, along with targeted media, are enhancing membership engagement and fueling business growth.

The company's competitive advantage is bolstered by its dominant warehouse position, effective supply chain and inventory management, and a unique value proposition. Tigress Financial Partners also highlights Costco's ability to generate an above-average Return on Capital and increasing Economic Profit as key factors in driving greater shareholder value.

The ongoing dividend increases and share repurchases are also seen as methods of enhancing shareholder returns. The firm believes that with a 12-month target price of $1,065, there is potential for a total return, including dividends, of over 20% from current levels.

In other recent news, Costco Wholesale has demonstrated strong financial performance, reporting a 9% increase in net income to $2.354 billion and a 1% rise in net sales to $78.2 billion in its Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. The company's e-commerce sales saw a substantial 18.9% increase, with net sales for September climbing by 9% to reach $24.62 billion.

Analyst firms including Oppenheimer, Baird, and Evercore ISI have responded positively to these developments, raising their price targets for Costco to $980, $975, and $990 respectively. DA Davidson and Citi, however, have maintained Neutral stances with consistent price targets of $880 and $800.

Costco's robust sales performance comes despite potential disruptions from the ongoing dockworker strike at East Coast and Gulf Coast ports, with the company taking proactive measures to navigate these challenges. These recent developments underscore Costco's resilience and ability to adapt to varying market conditions.

InvestingPro Insights

Costco's strong market position and growth strategies, as highlighted in the article, are further supported by real-time data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $392.42 billion, reflecting its dominant position in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. Costco's revenue for the last twelve months reached $254.45 billion, with a growth rate of 5.02%, aligning with the article's mention of increased sales and e-commerce momentum.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Costco has maintained dividend payments for 21 consecutive years, underscoring the company's commitment to enhancing shareholder value as mentioned in the article. Moreover, Costco's high return over the last year, with a 1-year price total return of 59.02%, supports the optimistic outlook presented by Tigress Financial Partners.

However, investors should note that Costco is trading at a high P/E ratio of 53.33, which may indicate a premium valuation. This is consistent with the InvestingPro Tip suggesting that Costco is trading at a high earnings multiple relative to near-term earnings growth.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips on Costco, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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