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Costco stock has upside as strong sales and traffic trends continue - Deutsche Bank

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/06/2024, 06:00 AM
COST
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On Friday, Deutsche Bank maintained a positive stance on Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ:COST) stock, with a reiterated Buy rating and a $927.00 price target. The wholesale giant demonstrated robust performance, with a 6.7% increase in core U.S. comparable sales, propelled by mid-single-digit U.S. traffic growth. This marks the seventh month in a row of such traffic increases.


Costco's discretionary business also showed impressive results, with low double-digit same-store sales growth for the third consecutive month, while its e-commerce sector posted sequential acceleration for the fourth month.


Despite these positive indicators, the report did observe a slight deceleration in two-year trends. Core U.S. comparable sales growth slowed to 9.9%, down from 10.8% in July. Similarly, U.S. traffic growth decreased to 10.8%, compared to 11.5% previously, and e-commerce growth moderated to 21.1%, from 25.1%.


Nonetheless, the consistency across key categories such as fresh foods, food and sundries, and non-food items was noted, with performance aligning with one-year trends.


The analyst highlighted that Costco's continued strong performance in mid-single-digit comparable sales and traffic, along with double-digit growth in discretionary sales, supports the company's premium valuation in the retail market. The sustained positive results have been a testament to Costco's resilience and appeal to consumers, especially in a competitive retail environment.


Costco's ability to maintain growth across various sectors of its business, from in-store purchases to online sales, reflects the company's adaptability and strong market position. The retailer's strategy and operations continue to attract positive attention from industry analysts, as evidenced by the reaffirmed Buy rating and price target.


In other recent news, Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) reported a surge in net sales for August and the fiscal year, with a 7.1% rise from last year, reaching $19.83 billion for August and $249.6 billion for the fiscal year. Despite a slight decrease in total comparable sales from 5.2% in July to 5.0% in August, U.S. comparable sales excluding gas price deflation and foreign exchange rates showed an increase.


However, Costco's fourth-quarter sales of $78.2 billion fell short of the consensus estimate of $80.2 billion, largely due to a decrease in gas prices over the quarter.


In addition, Costco is facing an investigation by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission concerning high grocery prices. The company will be required to provide details on their costs and pricing for common products.


Several analysts have maintained their ratings on Costco's stock. DA Davidson maintained a Neutral rating with a steady price target of $780.00, while Oppenheimer and BMO Capital Markets maintained their Outperform rating, with BMO raising its shares target to $950.


TD Cowen also raised the price target for Costco to $925.00, maintaining a "Buy" rating on the shares. These recent developments provide investors with crucial insights into Costco's performance and strategic operations.


InvestingPro Insights


Costco Wholesale's current market position is reinforced by several metrics that highlight the company's financial health and market performance. With a robust market capitalization of $392.79 billion, Costco is a heavyweight in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. Although its P/E ratio stands at a high 54.59, reflecting a premium valuation, it's important to consider that Costco holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which is a strong indicator of financial stability. Moreover, the company's revenue growth remains solid, with a 7.75% increase over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024.


InvestingPro Tips suggest that Costco's cash flows are more than sufficient to cover interest payments, and the company has a commendable track record of maintaining dividend payments for 21 consecutive years, with a dividend yield of 0.52% as of the last dividend date. Additionally, the company has been profitable over the last year, and analysts predict it will remain profitable this year. For investors seeking further insights, there are over 15 additional InvestingPro Tips available on Costco, including analyses on earnings revisions, valuation multiples, and profit margins.


These insights, particularly the upward earnings revisions by 7 analysts for the upcoming period, underscore the confidence in Costco's continued financial performance. As the company approaches its next earnings date on September 26, 2024, investors will be watching closely to see if these positive trends persist. The InvestingPro Fair Value estimation currently stands at $647.4, offering a nuanced perspective on the company's valuation compared to the analyst target of $915.7. For a deeper dive into Costco's financials and market prospects, additional InvestingPro Tips are available, providing investors with a comprehensive toolkit for making informed decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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