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Constellation stock remains a buy despite lowered beer sales outlook - Jefferies

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/04/2024, 05:45 AM
STZ
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On Wednesday, Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) experienced a minor adjustment in its stock outlook. Jefferies, a well-known financial services company, has revised its price target for Constellation Brands to $310, down from the previous $311. The firm continues to endorse a Buy rating for the stock.

The adjustment comes as Constellation Brands recently provided an update on their guidance, which has been described as a "kitchen sink" by Jefferies. The update indicated that beer sales expectations have been tempered due to challenging macroeconomic factors and a downturn in Hispanic consumer spending. Despite this, Jefferies anticipates that the company's cost-saving measures will fully compensate for the decline, allowing for increased marketing expenditures.

Constellation's Wine & Spirits (W&S) segment remains a difficult area, with wine sales, in particular, facing challenges. However, the impact of this segment on the overall business is considered to be minimal. Jefferies' stance on the company remains positive, highlighting Constellation Brands' sustainable volume growth, expanding profit margins, improved free cash flow, and the potential for increased capital returns to shareholders.

The commentary from Jefferies underscores their confidence in Constellation Brands' ability to navigate the current headwinds. The firm's outlook is buoyed by the company's strategies to mitigate lower beer sales through cost savings and to bolster its financial performance.

As the market processes this new information, investors will be watching to see how Constellation Brands' stock responds to the slight adjustment in the price target and the reaffirmed Buy rating.

In other recent news, Constellation Brands revised its fiscal year 2025 projections, leading Deutsche Bank to lower its price target from $259.00 to $256.00. The company now expects a 6-8% growth in Beer net sales, a decrease from the previously expected 7-9%, and a sales decline of 4-6% in its Wine & Spirits segment.

Despite these adjustments, the company raised the lower end of its total company earnings per share (EPS) guidance for FY25 to $13.60-$13.80, up from the previous range of $13.50-$13.80.

In other updates, Goldman Sachs maintained its Buy rating on Constellation Brands with a steady price target of $300.00, citing the robustness of the company's beer business model. JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Citi also provided their analysis, with JPMorgan revising its price target to $307.00 from $320.00, and Morgan Stanley adjusting its target to $280.00. Citi reaffirmed its Buy rating with a steady target of $305.00.

In governance news, Constellation Brands announced the resignation of board member Judy A. Schmeling, assuring there were no disputes linked to her departure. These developments are part of the company's recent trajectory, providing investors with a clear picture of its current state.

InvestingPro Insights

Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) has demonstrated resilience in the face of market challenges, as reflected by the recent analysis from Jefferies. To provide a more comprehensive picture, InvestingPro data reveals that Constellation Brands has a market capitalization of $44.96 billion and is trading at a P/E ratio of 18.26, which is in line with the industry average, suggesting a balanced valuation in terms of earnings. The company has also shown a solid revenue growth of 5.25% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, underlining its capacity to expand despite economic pressures.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Constellation Brands has a history of rewarding its shareholders, having raised its dividend for nine consecutive years, which is a testament to its financial health and commitment to returning value. Furthermore, the company's liquid assets outpace its short-term obligations, indicating a strong liquidity position that can support ongoing operations and investments.

For those seeking more insights, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Constellation Brands, including analyst predictions and valuation multiples, available at https://www.investing.com/pro/STZ. With this data in hand, investors can make informed decisions as they watch how Constellation Brands continues to perform in the evolving market landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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