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Community Health stock faces headwinds from wage inflation and insurer denials – Barclays

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/24/2024, 06:02 AM
CYH
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On Thursday, Barclays updated its outlook on Community Health (NYSE:CYH), increasing the price target to $5.00 from the previous $3.00, while maintaining an Equalweight rating on the stock.

Community Health reported its third-quarter earnings on Wednesday, after the market closed, revealing an EBITDA of $347 million, which fell short of the consensus estimates by 5%. The shortfall was attributed primarily to two factors: a $7 million impact from Hurricane Helene and a $10 million effect due to an uptick in denials by insurers, a newly observed negative trend.

The company's revenue, however, managed to slightly exceed expectations, posting a minor beat of 0.4% over consensus. This was bolstered by a robust performance in volumes, which saw an increase of 2.6%, and pricing, which rose by 2.5%. Despite these gains, the firm faced higher-than-anticipated unit wage inflation, which was up by 370 basis points quarter-over-quarter, though it remained relatively flat on a same-store basis.

At the end of the quarter, Community Health reported $67 million in cash flow from operations and a net leverage ratio of 7.7 times. The mixed financial results come as the first in a series of hospital earnings, setting a less than ideal precedent, largely due to the unforeseen weather-related impact and the challenges posed by insurance denials. The company's stock price target adjustment reflects the new financial landscape it navigates amidst these operational challenges.

In other recent news, Community Health Systems (CHS) has announced several key developments. The company's Q2 2024 earnings call reported a 4.7% increase in same-store net revenues and an adjusted EBITDA of $387 million. The acquisition of 10 urgent care centers in Arizona from Carbon Health was also announced, part of CHS's strategy to expand its integrated healthcare network in Tucson.

In addition, CHS has sold three of its Pennsylvania hospitals to WoodBridge Healthcare, Inc. affiliates for $120 million, with the transaction expected to close in the fourth quarter of this year. The company also announced the retirement of Lynn Simon, MD, from her role as President, Healthcare Innovation, and Chief Medical Officer at the end of the year, with Miguel Benet, MD, set to assume the role in 2025.

Despite challenges such as payer scrutiny and a projected decrease in Medicaid patients, analysts noted that CHS anticipates a robust fourth quarter. The company has expanded its partnership with Mark Cuban Cost Plus Drugs, is on track to fully implement Project Empower by the end of the year, and expects to close additional transactions within the year, estimating proceeds of over $1 billion. These are some of the recent developments at CHS.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on Community Health's financial position and market performance. Despite the challenges highlighted in Barclays' report, CYH has shown remarkable resilience in its stock performance. The company's shares have demonstrated a strong return over the last year, with a 116.8% price total return as of the most recent data. This impressive growth is further emphasized by an 83.17% return over the past six months.

However, InvestingPro Tips caution that CYH operates with a significant debt burden, which aligns with the reported net leverage ratio of 7.7 times. This high leverage could be a concern for investors, especially in light of the operational challenges mentioned in the earnings report.

Another InvestingPro Tip notes that analysts do not anticipate the company will be profitable this year, which is consistent with the reported EBITDA shortfall and the ongoing challenges in the healthcare sector. Despite this, CYH's revenue for the last twelve months stands at $12.55 billion, with a slight growth of 1.26% over the same period.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips that could provide valuable insights into CYH's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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