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Coinbase stock target cut on DC crypto shift, maintains rating

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 08/02/2024, 06:54 AM
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On Friday, H.C. Wainwright adjusted its outlook on shares of Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN), reducing the price target to $295 from the previous $315, while reiterating a Buy rating on the stock. The firm's stance is influenced by recent political developments in Washington D.C. that appear to favor the cryptocurrency industry.

Despite a quarter-over-quarter decline in global crypto trading volumes, Coinbase reported robust second-quarter results on Thursday, surpassing consensus estimates for revenue and adjusted EPS.

Coinbase's revenue stream was buoyed by a record $599 million in Subscription and Services revenue, which comprised 43% of total net revenues, up from 32% in the first quarter. This marks a 17% increase from the previous quarter. The growth was attributed to higher average cryptocurrency asset prices and a larger USDC market cap, which helped counterbalance the impact of reduced trading volumes.

The company's third-quarter expense guidance was higher than analysts had anticipated, due to plans for increased headcount and marketing efforts in the latter half of the year. However, the positive results from the second quarter are expected to lead to a favorable response in the stock market today.

Coinbase's management, led by CEO Brian Armstrong, expressed optimism about potential U.S. regulatory clarity for the crypto industry, which could emerge through comprehensive legislation possibly within the current year.

Armstrong's comments underscored the growing bipartisan support for cryptocurrency and the belief that the next U.S. administration, regardless of political affiliation, will likely adopt a constructive approach towards the industry. Such regulatory developments could attract a new wave of institutional investment and support the retention of talent and innovation within the U.S.

Despite potential near-term stagnation in crypto asset prices and trading volumes due to macroeconomic uncertainties, H.C. Wainwright maintains a bullish outlook for Coinbase over the next 12 to 18 months as the crypto market enters a new bull cycle phase.

In other recent news, Coinbase Global Inc. reported a significant increase in Q2 revenue to $1.38 billion, largely driven by a surge in crypto trading volumes. Despite this, recent analysis from Jefferies, a global investment banking firm, and Piper Sandler, suggest a potential decrease in trading volumes and subscription revenue.

Both firms, however, adjusted their price targets for Coinbase to $245, with Jefferies maintaining a Hold rating and Piper Sandler keeping a Neutral stance.

H.C. Wainwright also adjusted its price target for Coinbase to $295 from $315, reiterating a Buy rating. The firm's stance was influenced by recent political developments that appear to favor the cryptocurrency industry. Furthermore, Coinbase's board expansion, including an OpenAI executive and a former U.S. Solicitor General, is seen as a strategic move to influence U.S. crypto policy.

These are among the recent developments surrounding Coinbase Global Inc. Despite facing a fine by the UK's Financial Conduct Authority for lacking adequate anti-money laundering controls, Coinbase expressed its commitment to regulation and collaboration with financial authorities. The company's management expressed optimism about potential U.S. regulatory clarity for the crypto industry, which could emerge through comprehensive legislation possibly within the current year.

InvestingPro Insights

InvestingPro data highlights key financial metrics for Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) that can offer investors a deeper understanding of the company's current valuation and performance. With a market capitalization of $52.22 billion and a P/E ratio of 36.99, Coinbase is trading at a significant earnings multiple.

However, the adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 stands at 43.14, indicating a future expectation of earnings growth. This is further supported by a PEG ratio of 0.26 for the same period, suggesting that the company's earnings growth could outpace its P/E ratio, which is a positive sign for potential investors.

Revenue growth has been notable, with a 38.87% increase over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, and an impressive quarterly revenue growth of 115.6% in Q1 2024. The gross profit margin remains robust at 85.66%, reflecting the company's ability to maintain profitability despite fluctuating market conditions. Additionally, the stock has experienced a large price uptick over the last six months, providing a 64.56% return, and a year-to-date price total return of 22.26%.

InvestingPro Tips for Coinbase reveal that analysts are anticipating sales growth and expect net income to grow this year. Furthermore, the company is predicted to be profitable this year, having been profitable over the last twelve months. These insights, coupled with the fact that the stock has taken a hit over the last week, suggest that there could be a potential buying opportunity for investors who believe in the company's long-term prospects. For those interested in a more comprehensive analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/COIN.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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