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Citi views GBTG's acquisition of CWT as 'next logical step', keeps buy rating

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 03/26/2024, 10:40 AM
GBTG
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On Tuesday, Citi reaffirmed its optimistic stance on Global Business Travel Group Inc. (NYSE:GBTG), maintaining a Buy rating and an $8.00 price target.

The endorsement follows GBTG's announcement of acquiring CWT, a move that is expected to strengthen its position as a leader in the managed corporate travel sector. The transaction is anticipated to be beneficial, offering several advantages such as enhanced supplier leverage, accelerated progress towards the company's free cash flow (FCF) conversion goals of 40-45%, and increased potential for synergy realization.

The analyst from Citi highlighted that GBTG's increased market share from the acquisition could improve its value proposition. Furthermore, the merger is likely to hasten GBTG's journey to achieve its normalized FCF conversion targets with the possibility of exceeding them. The potential for realizing additional synergies, particularly during the transition period, was also noted as a positive outcome of the deal.

GBTG's ability to invest in operational efficiencies, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI), is expected to be bolstered by this acquisition. Despite concerns that CWT's slower growth rate might temporarily lower the combined entity's growth rate, Citi expressed confidence in GBTG's proven track record of successful acquisition integrations. Past acquisitions by GBTG, such as HRG and Egencia, have demonstrated the company's capability to assimilate new businesses effectively.

The analyst also pointed out GBTG's ongoing efforts to penetrate the unmanaged small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) market, which is likely to contribute to the company's growth. The successful integration of CWT into GBTG's operations is anticipated to maintain a compelling growth profile for the company and potentially attract new investor interest, as per Citi's analysis.

InvestingPro Insights

As Global Business Travel Group Inc. (NYSE:GBTG) continues its trajectory in the managed corporate travel sector, recent data from InvestingPro underscores the company's financial landscape. With a market capitalization of approximately $2.98 billion and a notable revenue growth of 23.72% in the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, GBTG is demonstrating its capacity for expansion. Despite a negative P/E ratio of -25.08, which reflects the company's current lack of profitability, analysts are optimistic, predicting profitability for GBTG within this year. This aligns with Citi's positive outlook and the anticipated benefits from the CWT acquisition.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that GBTG's liquid assets surpass its short-term obligations, suggesting a stable financial footing for upcoming operational investments. Additionally, the company's gross profit margin stands at a healthy 58.17%, which may further support its strategic initiatives, such as enhancing AI capabilities. While GBTG does not currently offer a dividend, the focus remains on growth and achieving a higher free cash flow conversion rate. For investors seeking a more in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers more tips on GBTG; using coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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