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Citi sees upside potential for Air Products amid activist stake, lifts stock PT

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 10/07/2024, 09:43 AM
APD
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On Monday, Citi updated its outlook on Air Products (NYSE:APD) & Chemicals Inc. (NYSE:APD), increasing its price target to $345 from $330 while maintaining a Buy rating. The firm cited the influence of Mantle Ridge's stake in the company as a key factor for the potential upside. The expectation is that the company's share price will benefit from clear strategies regarding the CEO's succession plan, a shift in capital allocation priorities, and more detailed disclosures about its project pipeline.

The analyst from Citi believes that these changes, if successfully implemented by the activist investor before the 2025 annual shareholder meeting, could significantly impact the company's shares. The 2024 annual meeting took place on January 25, 2024, and the next is expected in January 2025. The anticipation of these changes is seen as a positive development for Air Products & Chemicals, a company known for its industrial gases and related equipment.

Mantle Ridge's involvement in Air Products & Chemicals is seen as a catalyst for change within the company. The investment firm's stake is expected to push for key strategic shifts ahead of the annual shareholder meeting in 2025. These potential changes are seen as drivers for the company's future growth and performance in the market.

Citi's revised price target reflects confidence in the company's ability to navigate the changes and the potential impact of Mantle Ridge's activism. The firm's continued Buy rating indicates a positive outlook on the stock, suggesting that investors might expect favorable developments and a possible increase in share value.

The specific mention of the CEO succession plan and capital allocation priorities points to a focus on long-term strategic planning. The increased disclosures on Air Products & Chemicals' project pipeline are also expected to provide greater transparency and could contribute to investor confidence.

In other recent news, Air Products & Chemicals Inc. reported a strong third quarter with an adjusted EPS of $3.20, exceeding its guidance, reaffirming its full-year earnings guidance, and reflecting confidence in its growth strategy.

BMO Capital Markets raised the company's stock target by $23, maintaining an Outperform rating following these recent developments. The company has also made significant strides in its clean hydrogen initiatives, securing a green hydrogen supply agreement with TotalEnergies (EPA:TTEF) and planning to sell its LNG technology and equipment business to Honeywell (NASDAQ:HON).

Operational advancements are underway with the construction of the NEOM project and the permitting process in Los Angeles, which are expected to scale up operations as planned. Moreover, management succession plans have been discussed, ensuring leadership continuity. Despite uncertainties such as the Alberta project's contribution to earnings and permit delays in Los Angeles, the company remains optimistic about the US economy.

Finally, Air Products managed to secure a contract to supply hydrogen to a unit in Europe, with its green hydrogen projects, including the Northern Texas project, fully sold and awaiting regulatory clarity. These are part of the recent developments surrounding the company.

InvestingPro Insights

Adding to Citi's optimistic outlook on Air Products & Chemicals Inc. (NYSE:APD), recent data from InvestingPro provides further context to the company's financial position and market performance. As of the latest available data, APD boasts a substantial market capitalization of $63.47 billion, underlining its significant presence in the industrial gases sector.

InvestingPro Tips highlight APD's strong dividend history, having raised its dividend for 41 consecutive years and maintained payments for 54 years. This consistent dividend growth aligns with the company's stable financial position and could be an attractive feature for income-focused investors. Additionally, APD is trading near its 52-week high, which corroborates Citi's bullish stance on the stock.

The company's P/E ratio of 24.67 suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for APD's earnings, possibly due to its strong market position and growth prospects. This valuation metric, combined with the company's profitability over the last twelve months, supports the positive outlook presented in the article.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights that could further inform investment decisions regarding APD.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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