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Citi sees upside for Terex stock but stays on the sidelines with Neutral rating

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 06/26/2024, 08:01 AM
TEX
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On Wednesday, Citi initiated coverage on Terex Corporation (NYSE:TEX), a global manufacturer of lifting and material processing products, with a Neutral rating and a price target of $60.00. The firm's stance is based on a conservative outlook for the company's earnings per share growth, which is estimated to be in the low single-digit percentage range annually from 2024 to 2026.

The report acknowledges the potential for improved margins due to Terex's new Aerial Work Platforms (AWP) facility in Monterrey, Mexico. However, Citi's projections are slightly less optimistic than the company's targets. The forecast anticipates approximately 150 basis points (bps) of margin expansion from the new facility, compared to Terex's goal of 200 bps.

Citi also expressed concerns regarding the operational challenges Terex might face in Monterrey, particularly with labor availability and the high concentration of manufacturing in the area. Additionally, the analyst noted caution around Terex's new leadership and their strategy to engage in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) within the Materials Processing (MP) segment.

Despite these reservations, Citi sees potential for Terex's stock valuation and earnings estimates to rise if the company successfully executes strategic M&A opportunities or implements an aggressive share repurchase program. The firm also notes that Terex could outperform expectations if it achieves or surpasses its margin expansion goals for the Monterrey facility.

In other recent news, Terex Corporation reported a promising Q1 performance with sales rising 5% to $1.3 billion and earnings per share hitting $1.60. The manufacturer of lifting and material processing products also noted a 20 basis point expansion in operating margins and a 40 basis point improvement in gross margins. This robust performance, coupled with a solid backlog of $3.1 billion, has led Terex to raise its full-year sales and earnings outlook.

Recent developments also indicate that Terex is actively exploring mergers and acquisitions to strengthen its portfolio, while maintaining a focus on organic growth. The company has reaffirmed its 2024 free cash flow outlook range of $325 million to $375 million and plans to invest approximately $145 million in capital expenditures, primarily in its new Monterrey facility.

Despite facing some supply chain disruptions and softer demand in Europe, analysts view Terex's strong balance sheet and strategic growth initiatives as positive indicators for the company's future. However, they caution that seasonal patterns and fewer production days may lead to lower margins in Q4.

These recent developments offer insights into Terex's performance and strategic direction.

InvestingPro Insights

Terex Corporation's (NYSE:TEX) financial metrics and market performance underscore several key strengths that align with the company's strategic goals and may interest investors. According to InvestingPro data, Terex sports a compelling P/E Ratio of 7.03, suggesting that the stock is trading at a low earnings multiple relative to its near-term earnings growth. This is further supported by a PEG Ratio of 0.16, indicating potential undervaluation when factoring in earnings growth. Additionally, the company's Gross Profit Margin stands at a healthy 22.95% for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, which may reflect operational efficiency and a strong market position.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Terex has a track record of raising its dividend for 3 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for 12 consecutive years, showcasing a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Moreover, the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, providing financial flexibility and stability. For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, there are 8 additional InvestingPro Tips available that could offer deeper insights into Terex's financial health and investment potential. To explore these tips and enhance your investment strategy, consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.

With the market cap adjusted to $3.62 billion and a solid revenue growth of 11.98% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, Terex appears to be on a positive trajectory. These financial indicators, coupled with the company's strategic initiatives, such as the new Aerial Work Platforms facility, could be key drivers for future performance. As Terex navigates operational challenges and explores strategic M&A opportunities, these InvestingPro insights may provide investors with valuable context for evaluating the company's prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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