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Citi raises Tractor Supply shares target amid strong margin execution

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/26/2024, 05:05 AM
TSCO
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On Friday, Citi updated its outlook on Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) shares, raising the price target to $260 from $256, while keeping a Neutral rating on the stock. The firm acknowledged Tractor Supply's second-quarter performance, noting it as solid compared to other consumer earnings, which have seen numerous misses recently.

The report highlighted Tractor Supply's consistent core demand and growth in big-ticket categories, attributing this to the benefit of replacement cycles. Moreover, the company's margin execution was praised for its strength.

The analysis pointed out that despite these positive aspects, a gold medal rating was not yet justified. This caution stems from a slight miss in same-store sales (SSS) against market expectations and potential implications for reduced SSS upside in the second half of the year. Adjustments to the full-year estimates were made, anticipating more muted second-half SSS performance due to weaker transactions and ticket growth.

Looking ahead, Citi suggests that Tractor Supply's fourth-quarter SSS performance will be a crucial indicator for the company's future. This upcoming period is expected to reveal whether 2025 might see a return to algorithmic SSS growth or continue with growth rates below those algorithmic expectations. The firm's stance remains Neutral as it monitors Tractor Supply's progress towards these upcoming milestones.

In other recent news, Tractor Supply Company reported a 1.5% increase in net sales in its second-quarter 2024 financial results, despite a slight decline in comparable-store sales by 0.5%. The company's Neighbor's Club loyalty program continues to thrive, boasting over 36 million members.

Tractor Supply has also seen double-digit growth in digital sales and opened a new distribution center in Arkansas as scheduled. In addition to this, 21 new stores and three Petsense by Tractor Supply locations were launched. H

owever, the company adjusted its fiscal 2024 guidance due to anticipated cautious customer spending, expecting net sales between $14.8 billion and $15 billion, with comp store sales ranging from down 0.5% to up 1%. These are some of the recent developments within Tractor Supply Company.

InvestingPro Insights

As Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) navigates the retail landscape, the latest data from InvestingPro provides a clearer picture of the company's financial health and stock performance. With a market cap of $27.75 billion and a P/E ratio of 25.34, the company is trading at a premium relative to near-term earnings growth, which is evident in its high Price / Book ratio of 12.04. This might raise questions for investors considering the balance between growth prospects and current valuation.

On the brighter side, Tractor Supply's cash flows are robust enough to cover interest payments, and its liquid assets surpass short-term obligations, signaling financial stability. Additionally, the company has a track record of returning value to shareholders, having raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 1.71%. These fundamentals may reassure investors looking for consistent dividend-paying stocks.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downwards for Tractor Supply, which could be a factor to watch in upcoming quarters. Nevertheless, with 11 more tips available on InvestingPro, investors can delve deeper into the company's prospects. For those interested in gaining comprehensive insights, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, and explore the additional tips that could guide your investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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