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Citi maintains neutral stance on Hershey shares, sees sales risk

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 07/17/2024, 09:13 AM
HSY
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On Wednesday, Citi maintained its Neutral rating on Hershey shares with a consistent price target of $188.00.

The firm expressed concerns about potential risks to the company's sales and earnings projections for 2024 and 2025. According to the firm's analysis, Hershey's large confectionery segment is experiencing a decline in volumes, and year-over-year distribution continues to drop. These issues could hinder Hershey's ability to sufficiently adjust pricing to counteract expected cocoa price increases.

The firm noted that due to the long lead times required for pricing actions on seasonal products, Hershey may not be able to alter prices for a significant part of its portfolio until the second half of 2025. This limitation could impact the company's pricing strategy and financial performance. The firm anticipates that some of these concerns might become more evident following Hershey's second-quarter earnings report, scheduled for August 1, 2024.

The report is expected to provide further insights into Hershey's financial health and might lead to adjustments in earnings estimates for the following years. The firm's forecast suggests that following the earnings release, there could be a downward revision of Hershey's earnings estimates for 2024 and 2025.

Citi's commentary points to challenges in Hershey's confectionery business, where declining volumes and distribution could limit the company's pricing flexibility in the face of rising cocoa costs. The firm's position reflects caution ahead of Hershey's financial results, with a focus on the potential need for Hershey to adjust its sales and earnings expectations in light of these market conditions.

In other recent news, Hershey is facing significant challenges due to rising cocoa costs. Analysts from Citi and Piper Sandler have maintained a neutral stance on Hershey's stock, citing concerns over potential sales shortfalls and the impact of higher-priced cocoa on the company's profit margins. The firms have adjusted their earnings per share forecasts for Hershey, reflecting the pressure from these rising costs.

These recent developments reflect the challenges Hershey faces in maintaining its market share and navigating cocoa price volatility. However, the company's proactive management of cocoa sourcing and diversified product innovation pipeline are seen as key strengths. Despite the near-term cost risks, analysts recognize the attractiveness of Hershey's product portfolio.

Amid these financial concerns, Hershey has also announced the passing of board member Robert M. Dutkowsky, a key figure in the company's financial and governance oversight. Additionally, Hershey was among several North American companies that initiated significant workforce reductions at the beginning of 2024.

While the company deals with these pressures, Hershey's strategic initiatives and strong brand positioning continue to maintain its appeal to investors. These recent developments underline the importance of closely monitoring Hershey's financial health and position in the market.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of the concerns raised by Citi regarding Hershey's potential challenges, it's worth noting some positive aspects reflected in current InvestingPro data. Hershey's market cap stands at a robust $38.42 billion, and the company trades at a P/E ratio of 16.78 based on the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. This P/E ratio is relatively low compared to near-term earnings growth, suggesting that the stock might be undervalued. Additionally, with a PEG ratio of 0.82, Hershey's price earnings growth is also attractive, indicating potential for investment value in terms of future earnings growth.

From a dividend perspective, Hershey has shown a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders. The company has not only raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years but has also maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years. This consistency is supported by the fact that cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments, which is reassuring for income-focused investors. For those considering adding Hershey to their portfolio, these InvestingPro Tips highlight the company's financial stability and potential as a long-term investment.

Investors looking for deeper insights and additional InvestingPro Tips can explore more at https://www.investing.com/pro/HSY. There are 6 additional tips available, offering a comprehensive analysis of Hershey's financial metrics. To access these valuable insights, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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