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Citi maintains Neutral on Linde with steady target

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 08/05/2024, 06:29 AM
LIN
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On Monday, Citi reiterated its Neutral rating on Linde (NASDAQ: NYSE:LIN) shares, maintaining a $480.00 price target. The industrial gas giant outperformed expectations with its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.85, surpassing both Citi's estimate of $3.80 and the consensus of $3.79.

Citi analyst attributed this to a significant year-over-year operating margin expansion of approximately 140 basis points (bps), largely driven by its Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) business, which saw a roughly 450bps increase from the previous year, or around 320bps when excluding cost pass-through effects.

Linde's margin growth was consistent across all regions, with consolidated sales rising by 3% due to price attainment, although volume growth remained unchanged. The company experienced organic sales growth led by the Food & Beverage sector at 8%, Electronics at 7%, Chemicals & Energy at 5%, and Manufacturing at 4%.

The overall price/mix saw a year-over-year increase of 3%. The Americas region was a significant contributor to the earnings beat, with an operating profit of $1,159 million against Citi's projection of $1,125 million. This performance was supported by higher sequential volumes across all end markets except Metals & Mining and ongoing price and productivity initiatives.

Looking ahead, Linde provided its third-quarter 2024 EPS guidance with a midpoint of $3.87, which falls below the consensus estimate of $3.95. For the full year 2024, the company raised its EPS guidance midpoint by 5 cents to $15.50, which is slightly above the consensus of $15.48, and also increased the lower end of its guidance by 10 cents, now ranging from $15.40 to $15.60.

Recently, JPMorgan raised its price target for Linde to $480, citing the company's updated earnings per share (EPS) outlook for 2024. This adjustment came after Linde reported consistent year-over-year volumes for the second quarter of 2024 and a price increase of 3% year-over-year in the same period. JPMorgan also revised its EPS estimate for Linde upwards from $15.55 to $15.60, anticipating a 10% growth compared to Linde's EPS of $14.20 in 2023.

In addition, Deutsche Bank maintained a Buy rating on Linde and raised the price target to $510, citing volume recovery as a key factor. The bank anticipates Linde's first year-over-year volume growth since 2022 in the upcoming third quarter. Linde's earnings are expected to grow, with potential mid-teens earnings per share growth surpassing the current projection of 10%.

InvestingPro Insights

Linde's (NASDAQ:LIN) recent earnings report demonstrates the company's resilience and ability to exceed analyst expectations, as highlighted by Citi's assessment. Supporting this outlook, InvestingPro data shows Linde's robust fundamentals, with a gross profit margin of 47.56% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, reflecting its operational efficiency. The company's operating income margin stands at a healthy 26.28%, further underscoring its profitability.

While Linde trades at a high earnings multiple with a P/E ratio of 33.7 and a Price/Book value of 5.68, indicating a premium valuation, the company's performance justifies investor confidence. It's worth noting that Linde has a track record of raising its dividend for 32 consecutive years, a testament to its financial stability and commitment to shareholder returns. This is complemented by the company's ability to cover interest payments with its cash flows, as per InvestingPro Tips.

Investors seeking additional insights will find value in the InvestingPro platform, which offers a broader range of tips and metrics. There are 13 additional InvestingPro Tips available for Linde, including insights on analyst revisions, stock volatility, and industry positioning, which can be accessed for further in-depth analysis.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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