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Citi lifts Grid Dynamics shares target to $20, citing growth outlook

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 11/01/2024, 10:57 AM
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On Friday, Citi expressed a positive stance on Grid Dynamics Holdings (NASDAQ:GDYN), with a price target increase to $20.00 from the previous $18.00, while reiterating a Buy rating on the stock.

The firm's optimism is based on the company's impressive quarterly performance, which not only surpassed expectations but also showcased organic growth at levels leading the industry. Grid Dynamics' fourth-quarter 2024 outlook was notably higher than anticipated, reflecting strong demand trends among its client base.

The company has been experiencing consistent sales momentum over several quarters, expanding its partnership presence, and making strategic investments in relevant technologies and capabilities. These efforts have notably contributed to Grid Dynamics' success. The company's continued traction and expertise in AI-related projects were also highlighted as key factors in its robust growth trajectory.

Citi's analysis suggests that Grid Dynamics is on track to achieve a low-to-mid-teens organic growth rate as it exits 2024 and is setting up for a mid-teens organic growth rate for 2025, with the potential for further upside. These growth rates are expected to continue to outpace those of its peers in the industry.

The firm's raised price target reflects a belief that Grid Dynamics' industry-leading growth rates warrant a valuation premium. The company's outlook and performance indicate a strong end to the calendar year 2024 and a promising setup for 2025, as Grid Dynamics continues to capitalize on favorable demand trends and its strategic initiatives.

In other recent news, Grid Dynamics has made significant strides in its growth strategy, highlighted by two recent acquisitions. The company acquired Mobile Computing, an Argentinian software development vendor, and JUXT, a UK-based firm specializing in data-intensive systems for the financial sector. These acquisitions are expected to enhance Grid Dynamics' service offerings and expand its client base in key industries.

TD Cowen has maintained a positive stance on Grid Dynamics, reiterating a Buy rating, and highlighting the value of these acquisitions. The firm anticipates that the acquisition of Mobile Computing will contribute approximately three or more percentage points to Grid Dynamics' annualized inorganic growth.

Grid Dynamics has also reported record-breaking results for the second quarter of 2024, exceeding both revenue and non-GAAP EBITDA forecasts. This achievement was driven by growth in the retail and finance sectors, and an expanded customer base. The company's robust cash position of approximately $250 million is facilitating the exploration of further M&A opportunities.

However, a decline in revenue from the TMT and CPG/manufacturing sectors was reported. Despite this, the company's focus on enhancing AI capabilities has earned it recognition with four industry awards. For the third quarter, Grid Dynamics expects revenues to fall between $84 million and $86 million.

These are some of the recent developments that have shaped Grid Dynamics' trajectory.

InvestingPro Insights

Grid Dynamics Holdings' recent performance aligns with Citi's optimistic outlook, as reflected in InvestingPro data and tips. The company's market cap stands at $1.22 billion, with a strong revenue of $318.34 million in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. Notably, Grid Dynamics has shown impressive growth, with a 60.65% price total return over the past six months and a 55.77% return over the last year.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Grid Dynamics holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, indicating financial stability. This solid financial position supports the company's ability to invest in AI-related projects and expand partnerships, as mentioned in the article. Additionally, analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, aligning with Citi's expectations for continued growth.

The company's strong recent performance is further evidenced by its trading near its 52-week high, with the current price at 97.55% of its 52-week high. This momentum is consistent with Citi's raised price target and the anticipated industry-leading growth rates.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for Grid Dynamics Holdings, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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