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Citi increases Yum! Brands stock target, keeps buy on growth prospects

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/17/2024, 10:45 AM
YUM
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On Thursday, Citi has updated its outlook on Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM) shares, increasing the price target to $162 from the previous $160 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The firm's analysis highlighted Yum! Brands' long-term position as a potential global growth leader, citing the company's scale and technological investments as key factors in supporting its franchisees to maintain long-term competitive advantages over its peers.

The analyst from Citi noted the effective use of technology by Yum! Brands, which is expected to gradually reduce general and administrative expenses. However, the firm also pointed out that for Yum! Brands to break free from concerns about global market fluctuations and the challenges of a disinflationary and discounting environment in a royalty-driven model, it would require stronger traffic performance from its flagship U.S. brand, Taco Bell (TB).

Yum! Brands, the parent company of well-known fast-food chains such as KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell, relies on a business model that is heavily dependent on royalty fees from its franchisees. The analyst's comments suggest that while the company is making strides in its operations through technology, consumer traffic at Taco Bell is a critical factor for the company's overall success in the face of economic uncertainties.

The update from Citi comes as companies across the globe grapple with an evolving economic landscape that includes challenges such as potential inflation or deflation, and the necessity for businesses to adapt to remain competitive. Yum! Brands' focus on technological innovation and franchisee support appears to be a strategic move to navigate these challenges.

Investors and market watchers will likely monitor Yum! Brands' performance, particularly in terms of customer traffic at Taco Bell, to gauge the effectiveness of the company's strategies and the potential impact on its financial growth. The updated price target from Citi reflects a sentiment that, despite some ongoing challenges, Yum! Brands has growth potential rooted in its strategic investments.

In other recent news, Yum! Brands has reported a 10% growth in core operating profit for the second quarter of 2024, with significant contributions from Taco Bell and KFC International. However, a 3% decline in comparable sales for KFC and Pizza Hut was noted. Loop Capital has maintained its Hold rating on Yum! Brands, keeping a steady price target of $143.00.

Meanwhile, TD Cowen upgraded its stance on the company from Buy to Hold, setting a price target of $145.00, due to concerns that Yum! Brands might not meet consensus expectations for 2024-25.

Moreover, Yum! Brands announced a quarterly dividend of $0.67 per common share and is planning for further expansion in the UK and Canada, primarily focusing on Pizza Hut, with an expectation of at least 8% core operating profit growth in 2025. These are the recent developments in the company's business operations and performance.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Citi's analysis of Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context for investors. As of the last twelve months ending Q2 2024, Yum! Brands reported a revenue of $7.105 billion, with a modest growth of 1.63%. This aligns with the analyst's focus on the need for stronger traffic performance, particularly at Taco Bell.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Yum! Brands has maintained dividend payments for 21 consecutive years and has raised its dividend for 6 consecutive years. This consistent dividend policy could be attractive to income-focused investors, especially given the current dividend yield of 2.01%. The company's ability to sustain and grow dividends supports Citi's view of Yum! Brands as a potential global growth leader.

Moreover, Yum! Brands' P/E ratio of 24.04 suggests that the stock is trading at a premium compared to its earnings. This valuation could be justified by the company's technological investments and scale advantages mentioned in the Citi report. However, an InvestingPro Tip notes that the stock is trading at a high P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, which investors should consider in light of the challenges highlighted by the analyst.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 5 additional tips that could provide further insights into Yum! Brands' financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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