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Citi cuts Chubb target to $275 from $278, keeps neutral stance

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 07/24/2024, 04:43 PM
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On Wednesday, Citi updated its outlook on Chubb Corporation (NYSE:CB), adjusting the price target to $275.00 from the previous $278.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. The firm's analysis indicated that Chubb is experiencing underperformance even though it reported a respectable earnings beat, with net premiums written (NPW) slightly exceeding expectations and North America Commercial (NA Comm'l) reserve development showing incremental favorability.

Chubb's recent earnings call revealed a deceleration in North America Commercial pricing, alongside some adverse auto liability reserve development. The latter issue saw workers' compensation releases of $287 million being offset by auto liability adverse development of $116 million spanning multiple accident years. Despite these challenges, Citi estimates a slowdown in property rates contributing to an overall deceleration in North America Commercial rates from approximately 7% to around 4%.

Citi's assessment also touched on the impact of growth dynamics on Chubb's share performance, suggesting that this factor is having a greater effect than the long-tail reserve addition excluding compensation, which was only modestly higher than the previous quarter's addition. The firm's commentary reflects a cautious outlook on the insurance company's near-term financial developments and market performance.

In other recent news, Chubb Limited has reported significant developments in its second-quarter earnings for 2024. The company's core operating earnings per share (EPS) rose by 9.3% to $5.38, spurred by robust premium revenue growth across all regions and business segments, excellent underwriting results, and a substantial increase in investment income. Chubb's balance sheet remains strong, boasting a book value exceeding $61 billion and an adjusted operating cash flow of $7.2 billion for the first half of the year.

The company's life segment income grew by 8.7%, with international life up by double digits. Notably, Chubb returned $1.6 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Despite this, P&C underwriting income remained flat due to higher global catastrophe losses.

The company's outlook remains positive, with plans to continue growing operating earnings through P&C revenue growth, underwriting margins, investment income, and life income. However, two small acquisitions, Healthy Paws and Catalyst Aviation, diluted tangible book value by about $300 million. These are among the recent developments for Chubb Limited.

InvestingPro Insights

Chubb Corporation's financial health and market performance can be further understood through the lens of current InvestingPro data. With an adjusted market capitalization of $109.0 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.93, Chubb stands as a significant player in the insurance industry. The P/E ratio has seen a slight increase in the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, reaching 11.39, reflecting the company's earnings relative to its share price.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that Chubb's PEG ratio of 0.14 indicates potential undervaluation based on expected growth rates, making it an interesting point for investors looking for growth at a reasonable price. Moreover, the company's substantial revenue growth of 17.25% during the same period highlights its ability to expand effectively. Additionally, with a robust operating income margin of 19.75% and a dividend yield of 1.38%, Chubb demonstrates its profitability and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

For investors seeking a deeper dive into Chubb's performance and strategic outlook, InvestingPro offers more tips and analytics. To enhance your investment research, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, where you can access a wealth of additional tips—there are 5 more InvestingPro Tips available for Chubb Corporation, providing a comprehensive analysis of the company's future prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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