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Cautious buyback activity & NIM concerns weigh on Bank of Hawaii stock -Jefferies

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/02/2024, 10:03 AM
BOH
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On Friday, Jefferies updated its stance on Bank of Hawaii (NYSE:BOH), increasing the price target to $62.00 from the previous $54.00, while retaining a Hold rating on the stock.

The firm made adjustments to its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the bank, citing a stagnant net interest margin (NIM) and a lackluster balance sheet performance. The updated estimates for Bank of Hawaii's 2024 EPS have been reduced to $3.45 from $3.55, while the 2025 EPS forecast remains unchanged.

The analyst from Jefferies pointed out that despite the potential benefits from fixed-rate asset repricing, the NIM is anticipated to remain flat or slightly increase in the third quarter and is expected to follow a similar trend ahead of any rate cuts.

The forecast for NIM shows a gradual increase throughout the period as deposit cost pressures ease, indicated by the 6 basis points quarter-over-quarter increase in the second quarter. Meanwhile, yields on earning assets are projected to continue expanding, albeit at a modest pace compared to the 12 basis points increase in loan yields observed in the second quarter.

Loan growth is expected to be minimal, with only a slight improvement forecasted following two consecutive quarters of sequential declines. This is attributed to relatively higher pipelines.

The analyst also noted that while Bank of Hawaii's capital levels are robust, supported by a preferred stock raise, management is taking a cautious approach to share buyback activities, leading to their exclusion from the firm's financial model.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent updates from InvestingPro provide a nuanced view of Bank of Hawaii's financial performance and outlook. With a market capitalization of $2.54 billion and a P/E ratio of 18.25, the bank's valuation metrics offer a mixed picture. While the P/E ratio reflects a reasonable market expectation of earnings, it's worth noting that analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, indicating potential headwinds.

Despite a challenging revenue environment, with revenue growth over the last twelve months showing a decline of 8.39%, Bank of Hawaii has managed to maintain its dividend payments for 53 consecutive years, showcasing a commitment to shareholder returns. The dividend yield stands at an attractive 4.26%, suggesting a steady income stream for investors. Additionally, the bank has experienced a strong return over the last month, with a 13.61% total price return, which could signal a positive market sentiment.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts predict the company will remain profitable this year, supported by data indicating profitability over the last twelve months. However, concerns about weak gross profit margins could be a factor for potential investors to consider. For those interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Bank of Hawaii, which can be found at InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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