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Carrier Global stock price target increased on strong HVAC momentum

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/14/2024, 08:33 AM
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On Monday, Baird raised the price target for shares of Carrier Global (NYSE:CARR) from $80.00 to $88.00, maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. The firm cited an update to its estimates, which now reflect higher underlying core assumptions, particularly in the Residential and HVAC margins. This optimistic adjustment was slightly offset by the exclusion of the Res-Com Fire segment, which had a roughly $0.10 net dilutive effect.

The analyst highlighted Carrier Global as their top pick in the HVAC sector, pointing to strategic portfolio changes and effective capital deployment. Moreover, the momentum in both residential and commercial HVAC markets contributed to the positive outlook. Despite this, the analyst noted that Carrier Global's recent strong performance might lead to a period of market adjustment in the near term.

Carrier Global has been experiencing a period of growth, with its stock price reflecting the company's robust financial health and market position. The updated price target suggests that Baird expects this trend to continue, backed by the company's solid performance in key areas of its business.

Investors have shown confidence in Carrier Global, as evidenced by the stock's recent outperformance. The new price target indicates a belief that the company will carry on with its positive trajectory, although the market may take some time to adapt to the rapid gains.

The firm's endorsement of Carrier Global as a leading HVAC stock choice underscores the company's strategic initiatives and the potential for continued success. The maintenance of the Outperform rating alongside the increased price target suggests that Carrier Global is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities and maintain its growth momentum.

In other recent news, Carrier Global Corporation has seen significant developments in its financial and strategic landscape. The company recently sold its Commercial and Residential Fire business to Lone Star Funds for $3 billion, marking a key step in its strategic transformation into a focused HVAC company. The sale is expected to generate an estimated $2.2 billion in net proceeds, which Carrier plans to allocate towards share repurchases.

Carrier also reported robust North American HVAC demand, which helped offset a 30% drop in Viessmann's sales and exceed earnings expectations with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.87. The company has also initiated an $800 million tender offer to purchase its outstanding debt securities, aligning with its focus on managing its debt portfolio effectively.

Analysts from BofA Securities and Baird have shown confidence in the company, upgrading the stock to Neutral and maintaining an Outperform rating, respectively. RBC Capital Markets raised its price target on the stock to $79.00. These adjustments reflect confidence in Carrier's strategic moves, including portfolio reconfiguration and aggressive capital allocation.

In contrast, Morgan Stanley initiated coverage on Carrier Global with an Equalweight rating and set a price target of $75.00, citing potential downside risks from a negative rate of change in the Light Commercial sector and a slower recovery for Viessman. Despite these concerns, Morgan Stanley forecasts low single-digit earnings per share (EPS) growth in 2025-2026. These are recent developments that may interest investors.

InvestingPro Insights

Carrier Global's strong market position, as highlighted by Baird, is further supported by recent InvestingPro data. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $73.67 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Building Products industry. Carrier's revenue growth of 11.63% in Q2 2024 aligns with Baird's positive outlook on the company's performance in both residential and commercial HVAC markets.

InvestingPro Tips reinforce Carrier's strong market position. The company is noted as a "Prominent player in the Building Products industry," which corroborates Baird's view of Carrier as a top pick in the HVAC sector. Moreover, Carrier has "raised its dividend for 4 consecutive years," demonstrating a commitment to shareholder value that complements its strategic portfolio changes and effective capital deployment mentioned in the article.

The stock's recent performance is also noteworthy, with InvestingPro data showing a 57.36% price total return over the past year and a 44.45% return over the last six months. This aligns with the article's mention of Carrier's recent strong performance and outperformance in the market.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 14 additional tips for Carrier Global, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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