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BofA sees First Solar challenges as 'situational', lowers shares PT

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 10/30/2024, 08:53 AM
FSLR
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On Wednesday, BofA Securities adjusted its outlook on First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR) by reducing the stock's price target to $269 from the previous $321, while sustaining a Buy rating on the shares. The adjustment follows First Solar's third-quarter earnings report, which led the firm to reaffirm its positive stance on the company's stock.

The analyst from BofA Securities addressed the recent challenges faced by First Solar, attributing them to specific circumstances rather than fundamental issues with the company's business model. Despite a downward revision in volume guidance, largely due to the termination of three contracts and a delay in the sale of modules initially expected to be sold this year, the analyst sees these setbacks as unique to the situation.

First Solar's significant contracted backlog, which stands at 73.3 gigawatts, demonstrates robust demand for its products. This backlog enables the company to be discerning when entering into new contracts, ensuring they can maintain healthy average selling prices (ASPs).

The firm's strategic plans for capacity expansion were also highlighted. First Solar aims to increase its capacity significantly, with projections of over 14 gigawatts in the U.S. and 25 gigawatts on a global scale by the year 2026. This expansion is seen as a strategic move to leverage favorable U.S. policies, which the analyst believes will benefit First Solar regardless of the outcome of the election.

In summary, BofA Securities views the recent price target adjustment for First Solar as a reflection of short-term challenges rather than long-term concerns. The company's substantial backlog and strategic expansion plans are expected to position it well for future growth.

In other recent news, First Solar, a leading U.S. solar panel manufacturer, reported third-quarter earnings that fell short of estimates, with earnings per share of $2.91, missing the forecasted $3.26. The company's revenue for the quarter was also below estimates, due to disruptions such as hurricanes, IT outages, and a strike.

Amid these challenges, the company is considering shifting production from India to the U.S. to improve margins, in response to competition from Chinese products in the Indian market.

First Solar has also been in the spotlight for accusing several competitors, including Canadian Solar (NASDAQ:CSIQ) and JA Solar, of patent infringement. In addition, the company revised its annual sales forecast downwards despite a 16.6% rise in net profit for the third quarter, reaching $313 million.

Analysts have been active around First Solar's stock, with Citi upgrading the stock from Neutral to Buy and setting a new price target at $254 due to easing module pricing concerns. However, Roth/MKM maintained a Buy rating but reduced the stock's price target from $320.00 to $280.00 due to potential near-term headwinds.

These are the recent developments in First Solar's operations and the broader renewable energy sector.

InvestingPro Insights

First Solar's financial metrics and market performance provide additional context to BofA Securities' analysis. According to InvestingPro data, the company's revenue growth of 25.88% over the last twelve months aligns with the analyst's positive outlook on demand. The robust operating income margin of 33.98% suggests efficient operations, supporting the company's ability to maintain healthy ASPs as mentioned in the report.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that First Solar holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and has liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations. These factors contribute to the company's financial stability as it pursues its ambitious capacity expansion plans.

While the stock has experienced a 19.95% decline over the past month, the one-year price total return stands at an impressive 46.47%, indicating long-term investor confidence. This aligns with BofA Securities' view that recent challenges are temporary rather than systemic.

For readers seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for First Solar, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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