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BofA retains neutral on Deckers shares, cites growth potential

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 09/18/2024, 10:42 AM
DECK
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On Wednesday, BofA Securities maintained its neutral stance on shares of Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK), keeping the price target at $170.00. The firm's analysis followed a virtual meeting with Steve Fasching, the Chief Financial Officer of Deckers. The discussion highlighted a positive outlook on the growth potential for HOKA, a brand under Deckers' portfolio.

The company is anticipated to experience more balanced growth between its direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels and wholesale operations. HOKA's growth is expected to be stronger in the first half of the year, aligning with the company's forecasts. A notable trend is the ongoing demand outpacing supply, which may shift wholesale demand earlier than usual.

Deckers is set to expand its presence in big box retailers, including names like Dick's Sporting Goods (NYSE:DKS), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), and JD (NASDAQ:JD) Sports. Growth in international markets is projected to surpass that of the United States, suggesting a strategic focus on global expansion.

The BofA Securities report highlighted the potential for Deckers to outperform in gross margins, especially within the wholesale sector. However, the firm pointed out that while near-term momentum is positive, the current stock valuation, trading at 25.7 times forward-looking earnings, may already account for this upside.

The possibility of earnings per share outperforming market expectations is seen as narrowing, which could limit the stock's potential for significant price increases.

In other recent news, Deckers Outdoor Corporation has seen significant changes. The company has undergone a 6-for-1 stock split, a move that has been well-received by analysts from firms such as Williams Trading and TD Cowen, who adjusted their price targets to reflect the new valuation.

Despite a decrease in their fiscal year 2025 and 2026 earnings per share estimates, analysts continue to express confidence in Deckers, citing strong demand for its UGG and HOKA brands.

In terms of financial performance, Deckers reported a robust 22% increase in Q1 FY2025 revenues, reaching $825 million. This growth was primarily driven by a 30% surge in revenue from the HOKA brand and a 14% rise from the UGG brand. As a result, the company's annual profit forecast has been revised upwards.

Investment firms Baird, Truist Securities, and TD Cowen have raised their price targets for Deckers, indicating a positive outlook. Stefano Caroti, the new CEO of Deckers, is set to take over leadership, and retailers such as Dicks Sporting Goods and Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) are adjusting their inventory strategies to accommodate more HOKA and UGG products. These are the recent developments shaping Deckers' market position.


InvestingPro Insights


Recent data from InvestingPro underscores the financial robustness of Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK), complementing the neutral outlook from BofA Securities. Notably, Deckers holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, providing a cushion for operations and potential investments. This aligns with the company's strategic plans for expansion and growth in international markets as mentioned in the article.

Moreover, Deckers is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, which could indicate that the stock is undervalued in the context of its growth potential, especially considering the positive momentum in its HOKA brand.

From a valuation standpoint, Deckers has a P/E Ratio of 29.38, and its revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023 stands at an impressive 20.3%. The company's gross profit margin during the same period is a robust 56.54%, which supports the BofA Securities report's highlight on the potential for Deckers to outperform in gross margins. With analysts predicting profitability this year and a strong return over the last year, the company's financial health appears solid.

For readers interested in a deeper dive into Deckers' financials and future outlook, InvestingPro offers additional insights and metrics. There are currently 11 more InvestingPro Tips available, which provide a more comprehensive analysis of the company's financial position and market performance. For more detailed tips and real-time metrics, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/DECK.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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