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BofA reaffirms buy on Target stock as retailer addresses shrinkage

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 06/26/2024, 07:26 AM
TGT
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On Wednesday, BofA Securities maintained a Buy rating on Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) with a steady price target of $190.00. The firm's analyst pointed to freight costs as a positive factor for the company's gross margin (GM). The current favorable rolling freight rates, which Target has secured for the remainder of 2024, are expected to continue supporting the company's GM.

Target has been proactive in addressing the issue of shrinkage, which has negatively impacted margins by 120 basis points since before the pandemic. Measures have included enhancing store security and locking up certain high-risk products. Although loss rates have increased year-over-year in the first quarter, Target anticipates that shrinkage will stabilize in 2024 and subsequently decrease.

The analyst expressed optimism regarding Target's margin outlook, despite not expecting a full recovery from the shrinkage headwinds. The company is encouraged by the prospect of returning to a 6% operating margin, even if shrinkage does not fully revert to pre-pandemic levels. Target's efforts to mitigate the impact of shrinkage are seen as a step towards achieving this goal.

In other recent news, Target Corporation has made significant strides in its growth strategy.

The company announced a reshuffle of executive roles, appointing Christina Hennington as chief strategy and growth officer and Rick Gomez as chief commercial officer. Lisa Roath is set to become chief merchandising officer of food, essentials, and beauty in 2025. These changes are part of Target's ongoing efforts to drive long-term growth and maintain a competitive edge in the retail industry.

In a significant move, Target has teamed up with Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) to expand its online marketplace, Target Plus. This strategic partnership will introduce selected Shopify merchant products in Target's physical stores, offering a wider range of high-quality, affordable products to customers.

Target's financial performance has also seen recent developments. The company announced an increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.12 per common share, a 1.8% rise from the previous dividend. Despite a 3.7% dip in comparable sales, Target reported a 39% revenue increase compared to 2019, totaling over $24.5 billion.

However, Deutsche Bank reduced its price target for Target from $209 to $190, following a slight miss in the anticipated earnings per share for Q1. Despite this, the bank maintains a Buy rating for the company.

In a bid to enhance market share, Target, along with other retailers like Walgreens and Walmart (NYSE:WMT), announced price reductions on essential items. This is part of Target's larger growth strategy, which includes significant store expansion and investment in its loyalty program, Target Circle.

InvestingPro Insights

Following BofA Securities' endorsement of Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) with a Buy rating and a high price target, it's worth considering additional metrics and insights from InvestingPro. With a market capitalization of $67.9 billion, Target is trading at a P/E ratio of 16.44, which is attractive when aligned with its near-term earnings growth. This is further underscored by the adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2025, which stands slightly lower at 16.13.

Target's prudent financial management is reflected in its consistent dividend payments, having raised its dividend for 54 consecutive years, an InvestingPro Tip that signals a strong commitment to shareholder returns. Moreover, 14 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, indicating potential optimism about the company's financial prospects. This is complemented by the company's solid gross profit margin of 27.97% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2025.

For readers looking to delve deeper into Target's financial health and future outlook, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available. InvestingPro offers a comprehensive set of tips that can provide further guidance on the company's performance and potential investment opportunities. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, and discover the full range of insights available on InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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