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BofA downgrades Charles Schwab stock, citing lower interest rates & earnings pressure

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/02/2024, 06:49 AM
SCHW
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On Wednesday, BofA Securities adjusted its outlook on Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE: SCHW), reducing the price target to $63 from the previous $66 while maintaining an Underperform rating on the stock.

The adjustment reflects a revised expectation for interest rates and ongoing sorting activities, which are anticipated to impact the company's earnings per share (EPS).

The analyst from BofA Securities revised the EPS estimates for Charles Schwab for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026. The new estimates are set at $0.79, $3.41, and $4.23 respectively, a change from the previous $0.76, $3.40, and $4.42.

This revision is based on a lower forecast for interest rates and the continuation of sorting operations, which have been identified as negative influences on the company's financial performance.

However, these negative impacts were partially offset by a strategic move by Charles Schwab to reduce their deposit costs. The company decided to lower their cash sweep rate to 0.20%, a significant decrease from the earlier rate of 0.45%. This decision was made in response to the 50 basis points rate cut that occurred in September.

In setting the new price target, BofA Securities applies a 15 times multiple on the projected 2026 EPS for Charles Schwab. This valuation approach is consistent with the historical trading range for the company's stock, which has typically fluctuated between 15 to 25 times earnings, depending on the prevailing interest rate and growth environment.

Charles Schwab's stock performance and investor expectations will continue to be influenced by these factors, as well as the broader financial market conditions and the company's strategic financial management decisions.

In other recent news, The Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE:SCHW) has announced significant developments. The corporation's current CEO, Walt Bettinger, is set to retire at the end of 2024, with President Rick Wurster taking over as CEO in 2025. Under Bettinger's leadership, Schwab has seen substantial growth, with client assets increasing from $1.14 trillion to $9.74 trillion.

Additionally, Schwab has reported a surge in client assets to $9.74 trillion and the opening of 324 thousand new brokerage accounts in August. Despite a reduced short-term interest rate environment affecting earnings estimates, the company anticipates third-quarter earnings per share to remain steady at $0.75.

Analysts have also made adjustments to Schwab's stock targets. Deutsche Bank has reduced its price target for Schwab's shares to $77, maintaining a Buy rating. Morgan Stanley cut the company's target from $71 to $70, while Piper Sandler downgraded the firm's stock from Overweight to Neutral, reducing the target to $64.

The corporation has also scheduled a Fall Business Update for institutional investors, which will feature a live public webcast with key executives. These recent developments provide insights into Charles Schwab's current financial performance and future projections.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro sheds additional light on Charles Schwab's financial position and market performance. Despite the challenges highlighted in the article, InvestingPro Tips reveal that Charles Schwab has maintained dividend payments for an impressive 36 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns. This consistency could be particularly appealing to income-focused investors in the current economic climate.

The company's P/E ratio stands at 26.48, with an adjusted P/E of 24.12 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. While these figures suggest a premium valuation, they should be considered in the context of the company's market position and growth prospects. Charles Schwab's revenue for the same period was $18.4 billion, although it experienced a revenue decline of 12.02% year-over-year.

It's worth noting that analysts predict Charles Schwab will remain profitable this year, aligning with the company's track record of profitability over the last twelve months. This positive outlook could provide some reassurance to investors concerned about the revised EPS estimates mentioned in the article.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights that could be valuable in assessing Charles Schwab's investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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