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BofA cuts Workday stock target to $265 from $275, cites macro pressure

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 08/15/2024, 09:54 AM
WDAY
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On Thursday, BofA Securities revised its price target for shares of Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), a leading provider of enterprise cloud applications for finance and human resources, reducing it to $265 from the previous $275. Despite this adjustment, the firm maintains its Buy rating on the stock.

The adjustment comes as Workday continues to perform strongly in the enterprise resource planning (ERP) industry, which is projected by Gartner (NYSE:IT) to grow at 8%. Workday's growth is driven by consistent low to mid-teens growth in human capital management (HCM) and mid-twenties growth in financials. This is attributed to the adoption of what is described as the best of breed planning model and a shift to cloud-based services among mid-market companies.

BofA Securities highlights Workday's position as a leading cloud provider in the $26 billion ERP industry and anticipates the company to continue gaining market share. The firm's analysis suggests that Workday has a significant opportunity for growth in the sector.

The company's financial outlook is also positive, with expectations of steady mid to high teens growth and a consistent margin expansion of 100 to 150 basis points. This is notable as there are no major investment cycles currently underway that could potentially disrupt this growth trajectory.

In conclusion, BofA Securities reaffirms its confidence in Workday's ability to generate solid and sustainable low 20s free cash flow (FCF) growth. The revised price target of $265 is based on 29 times the calendar year 2025 estimated FCF, a slight decrease from the previous multiple of 30 times, reflecting ongoing macroeconomic pressures.

In other recent news, there have been significant changes in Workday's board of directors and strategic partnerships. Christa Davies resigned from her board position and was replaced by Mark J. Hawkins (NASDAQ:HWKN) as the Chair of the Audit Committee. Additionally, technology veteran Michael Speiser joined the board as an independent director.

Workday has also expanded its partnership with Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Cloud, integrating advanced AI capabilities into the Workday Extend application development platform. This move is expected to enhance the speed and quality of app deployment on the Workday platform.

On the analyst front, several firms have adjusted their price targets for Workday. BofA Securities, KeyBanc, and TD Cowen reduced their targets, citing various factors including potential growth in the ERP market and macroeconomic challenges.

BMO Capital Markets maintained an Outperform rating and a steady price target of $300, despite projecting a subdued start to fiscal year 2025. The firm's outlook remains positive for Workday in the long run, despite an industry-wide slowdown in new growth.

These recent developments represent the ongoing business activities of Workday and the analysis provided by various analyst firms.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of BofA Securities' revised price target for Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), InvestingPro offers additional context that may be of interest to investors. Despite the recent adjustment, Workday holds a strong financial position with a market capitalization of $59.12 billion and a robust revenue growth of 17.01% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023. The company's P/E ratio stands at 39.3, reflecting a premium valuation which is supported by its position as a prominent player in the software industry, as highlighted by two InvestingPro Tips. First, Workday is trading at a high earnings multiple, which aligns with BofA's optimistic outlook on the company's free cash flow growth. Second, Workday's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, indicating a healthy balance sheet that could support sustained growth and margin expansion.

Additionally, Workday's stock has experienced volatility, with a 6-month price total return of -26.96%, yet the company is predicted by analysts to be profitable this year. For investors seeking more detailed analysis and metrics, there are over 10 additional InvestingPro Tips available, providing a deeper dive into Workday's financial health and market position (https://www.investing.com/pro/WDAY). This comprehensive view can help investors make more informed decisions in the context of both BofA's updated price target and the dynamic ERP industry landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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