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BMO sees revenue growth beating in bullish outlook on S&P Global stock

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/02/2024, 09:04 AM
SPGI
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On Tuesday, BMO Capital maintained its Outperform rating on S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) stock, with a steadfast price target of $483.00. The firm's analysis highlighted a significant year-over-year growth in SPGI's billed issuance, noting a 45% increase in May, which followed an impressive 75% rise in April.

Additionally, the data from BMO Fixed Income revealed that June's investment-grade (IG) issuance reached $105 billion, surpassing the anticipated range of $95 to $100 billion, thanks to robust performance towards the month's end.

S&P Global management has forecasted continued strong refinancing activity in both bank loan and high yield sectors through the second quarter of 2024, expecting it to slightly diminish thereafter.

BMO Capital, interpreting the recent data, posits that S&P Global's Ratings revenue growth for Q2 2024 could potentially exceed market expectations. Current consensus estimates predict a 9.1% year-over-year growth, while BMO's projection is slightly more conservative at 7%.

The firm's outlook is based on the observed financial activity and issuance volumes, which serve as indicators of S&P Global's performance in the ratings market. With the reported increases in billed issuance and IG issuance volume, BMO Capital suggests that these factors could contribute to a stronger-than-anticipated revenue growth for the company in the second quarter.

Investors and market watchers often rely on such evaluations by financial institutions to gauge the potential performance of companies like S&P Global. BMO Capital's reiteration of its Outperform rating and price target reflects a positive outlook on the company's revenue prospects, particularly within its Ratings segment.

S&P Global, as a leading provider of ratings, benchmarks, analytics, and data to the capital and commodity markets worldwide, is watched closely for signs of growth or decline that may signal broader economic trends. BMO Capital's analysis thus provides a snapshot of the company's health and its ability to capitalize on current market conditions.

In other recent news, S&P Global has experienced a series of notable developments. The company's second-quarter earnings per share (EPS) forecast was raised by 6% to $3.67, primarily due to an expected increase in revenue from the Ratings segment, according to Oppenheimer. The firm also raised its EPS estimates for the years 2024 and 2025 to $14.34 and $16.19 respectively, leading to a price target increase from $482.00 to $486.00.

S&P Global's merger with IHS Markit has expanded its market reach and product offerings, with an anticipated improvement in subscription growth in the Market Intelligence and Indices segments.

RBC Capital has maintained an Outperform rating due to the company's expansion efforts, including the recent enhancement of its CapIQ Pro platform and the acquisition of Visible Alpha.

The company has declared a third-quarter cash dividend of $0.91 per share, continuing its long-standing tradition of consistent dividend payments. It has also added Fixed Income data to its offerings, a move that's expected to contribute positively to its financial performance and advance its market position.

Recent executive changes at S&P Global, with CEO Doug Peterson retiring and Martina Cheung stepping in as the new president and CEO, are expected to potentially influence the company's strategic direction. Lastly, S&P Global Mobility's data reveals the average lifespan of vehicles in the U.S. has reached a new high of 12.6 years, a trend that could boost the aftermarket and vehicle service sectors.

InvestingPro Insights

Adding to the insights provided by BMO Capital, InvestingPro data shows that S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) maintains a strong financial position with a market capitalization of $139.65 billion and a robust revenue growth, which was 7.33% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. The company's gross profit margin stands at an impressive 67.47% for the same period, indicating efficient management and a strong competitive edge in its sector.

InvestingPro Tips highlight S&P Global's consistent performance, with the company having raised its dividend for 10 consecutive years, and maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years—a testament to its financial stability and commitment to shareholder returns. Furthermore, analysts predict the company will continue to be profitable this year, supported by a high return over the last decade. These factors may resonate with investors looking for a mix of growth and stability in their portfolio.

For those considering a deeper dive into S&P Global's financials and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional tips and metrics. Prospective users can enhance their investment strategy with these insights by using coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription. There are 9 additional InvestingPro Tips available for S&P Global, which could further inform investment decisions and provide a more comprehensive understanding of the company's market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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