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BMO raises Paycom shares target on strong unit sales and buyback program

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/01/2024, 09:22 AM
PAYC
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On Thursday, BMO Capital adjusted its outlook on Paycom Software (NYSE:PAYC) shares, increasing the price target to $183 from $160, while keeping a Market Perform rating on the stock. The adjustment follows Paycom's recent quarterly results, which were deemed satisfactory and largely met market expectations.

The company's performance was underpinned by positive remarks about unit sales and the expansion and extension of its repurchase program, now totaling $1.5 billion. This move aligns with a broader pattern of share buybacks among Human Capital Management (HCM) payroll peers.

Despite these favorable factors, Paycom has revised its revenue forecast slightly downward for the second half of 2024. Additionally, margin pressures are expected to continue into the early part of the next year as the company increases its investments.

The analyst from BMO Capital acknowledged these developments, stating, "Paycom results for the quarter were okay and we believe largely in line with expectations.

Positively, the company had supportive commentary on units sold and the upsized and extended repurchase program continued a theme of HCM payroll peers buying back shares."

The revised price target reflects the analyst's view that while Paycom is navigating through some challenges, the company's overall performance and strategic actions warrant a more optimistic valuation. The new target of $183 represents BMO Capital's updated assessment of Paycom's stock value in the current market.

In other recent news, Paycom Software has been making significant strides in its financial performance and strategic direction. The company reported a 9% increase in revenue for the second quarter of 2024, reaching $438 million.

This was complemented by a GAAP net income of $68 million and non-GAAP net income of $92 million. The firm's adjusted EBITDA reached nearly $160 million, reflecting a margin of 36.5%.

Paycom's commitment to share buybacks is evident, with the repurchase of 790,000 shares for $120 million and an increase in its buyback authorization to $1.5 billion.

This aligns with BMO Capital's positive adjustment of Paycom's price target to $183. Despite a slight downward revision in its revenue forecast for the second half of 2024, Paycom maintains a robust financial position.

These recent developments underscore the company's focus on growth and automation, with positive reception for their automation tools, Beti and GONE.

As noted by BMO Capital, these strategic actions warrant a more optimistic valuation, even as the company navigates through some challenges.

InvestingPro Insights

As Paycom Software (NYSE:PAYC) continues to navigate market expectations and strategic initiatives, real-time data from InvestingPro offers additional insights into the company's financial health and market performance. With a market capitalization of $9.43 billion and a P/E ratio that stands at 20.23, Paycom shows a balance between market valuation and earnings potential. The company's gross profit margin impresses at 86.55% for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, which underscores its efficiency in generating income relative to its revenue.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights Paycom's solid financial position, noting that the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, providing it with financial flexibility. Moreover, analysts predict Paycom will be profitable this year, which is corroborated by a strong gross profit and operating income margin of 33.11% in the same period. For investors looking for growth opportunities, Paycom's revenue growth of 18.23% over the last twelve months signals a robust expansion trajectory.

For those interested in a deeper dive, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Paycom, including insights on its trading multiples and profitability over the last decade. To explore these further, 9 more InvestingPro Tips are available, providing a comprehensive analysis to support investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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