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BMO maintains Outperform rating on Birkenstock amid sales growth

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 08/30/2024, 11:28 AM
BIRK
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BMO Capital Markets has maintained its optimistic stance on Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE: NYSE:BIRK), reiterating an Outperform rating and a $60.00 price target.

The firm highlighted the company's sustained broad-based sales growth across various regions and channels during the third quarter, emphasizing the significance of strong wholesale performance as an indicator of high demand.

Birkenstock's gross margin for the quarter was reported to be lower than the Street's expectations but aligned with BMO's projections. This was attributed to temporary increases in production capacity and growth in wholesale penetration. Despite this, BMO noted the company's ongoing gains in unit sales and average selling prices, along with its successful expansion into closed-toe shoe styles.

The firm expressed confidence in Birkenstock's potential for continued sales growth, supported by a robust EBITDA and opportunities for further brand development. BMO also pointed to an improving balance sheet as a positive factor for the company's financial outlook.

In other recent news, Evercore ISI reduced the footwear company's price target from $77.00 to $70.00, maintaining an Outperform rating.

The firm's confidence in Birkenstock's performance remains steadfast despite the revised financial outlook. Goldman Sachs also held a Neutral stance on Birkenstock, adjusting its 12-month price target to $58.50. The firm acknowledged Birkenstock's strong brand momentum, particularly within the business-to-business sector.

Recent developments reveal a record-breaking revenue for Birkenstock in the third quarter of fiscal year 2024, driven by a 19% increase in constant currency terms. The company's adjusted EBITDA reached an all-time high of EUR186 million, with a margin of 33%.

Despite a slight decline in gross profit margin due to capacity expansion and a shift in channel mix, Birkenstock's management expressed confidence in meeting the upper end of the fiscal year 2024 guidance for revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA margin.

According to analysts, Birkenstock's strategy to meet consumer demand across different channels, despite complicating short-term profit and loss forecasting, is viewed as a positive trait.

While direct-to-consumer sales yield approximately double the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) compared to wholesale transactions, this approach is seen as consumer-friendly.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of BMO Capital Markets' upbeat assessment of Birkenstock Holding plc (NYSE:BIRK), insights from InvestingPro further enrich the outlook for the company. With a market capitalization of $9.56 billion, Birkenstock is trading at a high earnings multiple of 92.5, which reflects investor confidence in its growth prospects. This is supported by an impressive gross profit margin of 60.16% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, underscoring the company's strong profitability in its operations.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Birkenstock's net income is expected to grow this year, an encouraging sign for investors looking for growth in earnings. Additionally, the company's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, indicating a healthy liquidity position that can support ongoing business activities and potential expansions. These factors, along with the 19.77% revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, provide a robust financial backdrop for the company's strategic initiatives highlighted by BMO.

For readers interested in a deeper dive into Birkenstock's financial health and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional tips, with 7 more analyses available at https://www.investing.com/pro/BIRK. These insights can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the company's performance and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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